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Eredivisie · MW4 711 Stadion, Velsen-ZuidRef: Dennis Higler
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Telstar 0-4 Ajax result, stats and report

Telstar
Lost · xG 0.88
0 – 4
FT
Won · xG 2.14
Ajax
Next: Telstar v ADO Den Haag · Sun 11 Oct · Ajax v NEC Nijmegen · Sat 10 Oct
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

TelstarAjaxEredivisie

The provider forecast gives Ajax win the highest 1X2 probability at 59.0%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

Telstar
19.6%
Draw
21.4%
Ajax
59.0%
Both teams to score · Yes
56.5%
Over 2.5 goals
58.8%

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorelost
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultlost
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalswon
Over 3.5 goalslost
Full-time resultwon
Double chancewon
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveswon

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

20%
21%
59%
19.6%Telstar
21.4%Draw
59.0%Ajax

Both Teams to Score

57%
Yes 56.5%No 43.5%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

59%
Yes 58.8%No 41.3%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
80%
Over 2.5
59%
Over 3.5
37%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-2
9.9%
0-1
9.6%
1-1
9.5%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
6.4%
0-3
5.8%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates Ajax or draw at 60.5%; the most likely half-time state is Ajax leading at half-time at 44.4%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 2.4%.

Double Chance

1X
34.3%
12
5.2%
X2
60.5%

Half-Time Result

Telstar
19.9%
Draw
35.7%
Ajax
44.4%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
Telstar
Draw
Ajax
Telstar
11.2%
4.2%
4.7%
Draw
7.3%
11.5%
16.0%
Ajax
1.4%
4.9%
38.8%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
2.4%
No
97.6%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.