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UEFA Europa Conference League · MW4 Johan Cruijff Arena, Amsterdam

From kick-off: live commentary, stats, momentum and in-play prices from bet365.

Ajax vs Thun prediction, odds and how to watch

Kickoff
26 Nov
Ajax 67%Draw 17%THU 16%
Kickoff and the final result. Lineups and goals are one switch more.
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Should you back Ajax or Thun?

Ajax vs Thun kicks off UK time in the UEFA Europa Conference League. The match is at Johan Cruijff Arena, Amsterdam. Our model has not published a pick for this match yet. Picks and prices land closer to kick-off.

Match intelligence · not a tip

Ajax has the highest forecast probability · Over 2.5 goals is more likely

Match-result model updated
Match-result probability · model
Ajax67.1%
Draw17.3%
THU15.6%
BTTS yes59.4%

Updated

Over 2.567.4%

Updated

Head to head · last 6Full H2H →

No recorded meetings between these two sides yet.

Provider forecast · Prediction tab · Methodology

Match facts before kick-off

No approved historical Match Facts are available for this fixture. Nothing is inferred from missing provider coverage.

Match Facts feed warming up

Form & xG · last 6 games

Rolling across all competitions
11.2
xG for
18▲ +6.8
Goals
10.0
xGA
Last 6 matchesover-performing xG
10.7
xG for
13▲ +2.3
Goals
10.5
xGA
Last 6 matchesover-performing xG
AjaxNewest first

Goalsoutlined xG

Ajax recent goals and expected goals, newest match first
MatchResultGoalsxG
1D20.56
2W63.34
3W10.76
4W21.51
5W21.80
6W53.21
ThunNewest first

Goalsoutlined xG

Thun recent goals and expected goals, newest match first
MatchResultGoalsxG
1D31.31
2W32.23
3W52.91
4L22.47
5L01.55
6L00.23
Ajax have taken more points than their chances were worth: 16 points against 9.0 expected. Thun have taken fewer points than their chances were worth: 7 points against 8.5 expected.Expected points reruns each match from its chances alone.
Ajax generated 11.2 xG across their last 6 matches and scored 18, 6.8 above that chance total. Thun generated 10.7 xG across their last 6 matches and scored 13, 2.3 above that chance total.

Team comparison · recent form

Ajax: 6 matches · THU: 6
Recent team comparison. Ajax sample 6; Thun sample 6.
MeasureAjaxThun
Goals / game32.17
Conceded / game12.17
xG / game1.871.78
xG conceded / game1.671.75
Historical context, not stats from this fixture. xG coverage: 6 and 6 matches.Full team comparison
How to watch

How to watch Ajax v Thun

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Match information remains available while viewing options resolve privately.

Lineups

Probable XIs

Probable · confirmed ~16:45
Ajax11 starters
22Stegen
15Baas
2Rosa
5Wijndal
5Kehrer
24Mokio
18Klaassen
10Brandt
10Gloukh
Amrabat
99Arokodare
THU11 starters
24Steffen
19Bamert
47Fehr
5Bürgy
57Mambwa
70Reichmuth
16Roth
14Käit
30Maier
96Labeau
9Dursun
Out / doubtful
🩹 Anton Gaaei injury · 🩹 Steven Berghuis injury · 🩹 Caio Henrique injury · 🩹 Julian Brandt injury · 🩹 Thilo Kehrer injury · 🩹 Viktor Tsygankov injury · 🩹 Kasper Dolberg injury · 🩹 Oliver Edvardsen injury · 🩹 Genís Montolio injury
Changes
Most-frequent starters over the last 11 matches. Confirmed teams land about an hour before kickoff, and any change from this XI appears here.

Every linked name opens the player page · Full lineups and injuries →

Editorial publication status

Match Preview not published yet

Fixture facts, team form and model probabilities remain available in their own sections while the editorial Preview is absent.

📊 Match preview and data context

No AI summary available yet for this fixture.

SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.

Ajax v Thun · UEFA Europa Conference League ·

Questions about this match

  • When and where is Ajax vs Thun?
    Ajax vs Thun takes place on Thursday 26 November at 17:45 (UK time) in the UEFA Europa Conference League at Johan Cruijff Arena, Amsterdam.
  • How can I watch Ajax vs Thun?
    Check your local official broadcaster or rights-holder for UEFA Europa Conference League coverage in your region. SportSignals does not stream matches.
  • Are SportSignals predictions for Ajax vs Thun free?
    Yes. The model's predictions, odds comparison, stats and head-to-head for Ajax vs Thun are free to read. 18+. Predictions are informational, not betting advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. begambleaware.org.
Tips record

Tip decision pending

The pre-match publication window is still open. No Tip has been recorded yet, so this is not a no-Tip decision.

Latest possible publication cutoff · kickoff 26 Nov, 17:45 GMT

No alternative Tips are published right now

The public ledger and methodology remain available, and you can follow this fixture for the next verified match update.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.