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EFL Championship · MW5 bet365 Stadium, Stoke-on-Trent, StaffordshireRef: Robert Madley
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Stoke City 4-0 Charlton result, stats and report

Stoke City
Won · xG 1.96
4 – 0
FT 09:15
Lost · xG 0.46
Charlton
Next: Stoke City v Middlesbrough · Tue 13 Oct · Burnley v Charlton · Tue 13 Oct
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

Stoke CityCharltonEFL Championship

The provider forecast gives Stoke City win the highest 1X2 probability at 43.2%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

Stoke City
43.2%
Draw
27.2%
Charlton
29.6%
Both teams to score · Yes
51.7%
Over 2.5 goals
46.7%

Full-time forecast audit: Stoke City win was the highest probability; the match result was Stoke City win.

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorelost
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultwon
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalslost
Over 3.5 goalslost
Full-time resultwon
Double chancewon
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveswon

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

43%
27%
30%
43.2%Stoke City
27.2%Draw
29.6%Charlton

Both Teams to Score

52%
Yes 51.7%No 48.3%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

47%
Yes 46.7%No 53.3%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
72%
Over 2.5
47%
Over 3.5
25%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
12.9%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.9%
0-1
8.8%
0-0
8.2%
2-0
7.6%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates Stoke City or draw at 53.3%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 42.8%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 5.4%.

Double Chance

1X
53.3%
12
8.2%
X2
38.5%

Half-Time Result

Stoke City
33.6%
Draw
42.8%
Charlton
23.6%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
Stoke City
Draw
Charlton
Stoke City
26.0%
5.8%
1.9%
Draw
15.2%
18.4%
9.7%
Charlton
2.8%
4.7%
15.3%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
5.4%
No
94.6%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.