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EFL Championship · MW10 bet365 Stadium, Stoke-on-Trent, Staffordshire

Stoke City vs Middlesbrough prediction, odds and how to watch

Kickoff and the final result. Lineups and goals are one switch more.
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Should you back Stoke City or Middlesbrough?

Stoke City vs Middlesbrough kicks off UK time in the EFL Championship. The match is at bet365 Stadium, Stoke-on-Trent, Staffordshire. Our model has not published a pick for this match yet. Picks and prices land closer to kick-off.

Match intelligence · not a tip

Stoke City v Middlesbrough: what the model sees

Match-result probability · model

A current match-result forecast is unavailable for this fixture.

Head to head · last 6Full H2H →

No recorded meetings between these two sides yet.

Provider forecast · Prediction tab · Methodology

Match facts before kick-off

No approved historical Match Facts are available for this fixture. Nothing is inferred from missing provider coverage.

Match Facts feed warming up

Form & xG · last 6 games

Rolling across all competitions
5.3
xG · 5/6
10
Goals
5.9
xGA
Last 6 matches
8.8
xG for
11 +2.2
Goals
6.9
xGA
Last 6 matchesover-performing xG
Stoke CityNewest first

Goalsoutlined xG · xG available for 5 of 6

Stoke City recent goals and expected goals, newest match first
MatchResultGoalsxG
1W21.57
2D10.92
3W41.96
4W10.18
5L10.63
6D1Unavailable
MiddlesbroughNewest first

Goalsoutlined xG

Middlesbrough recent goals and expected goals, newest match first
MatchResultGoalsxG
1D21.73
2W42.10
3L01.07
4W12.07
5D10.93
6W30.92
Stoke City have taken more points than their chances were worth: 10 points against 6.5 expected. Middlesbrough have taken more points than their chances were worth: 11 points against 9.5 expected.Expected points reruns each match from its chances alone.
Stoke City generated 5.3 xG across 5 of their last 6 matches with xG data and scored 9, 3.7 above that chance total. Middlesbrough generated 8.8 xG across their last 6 matches and scored 11, 2.2 above that chance total.

Team comparison · recent form

Stoke City: 6 matches · Middlesbrough: 6
Recent team comparison. Stoke City sample 6; Middlesbrough sample 6.
MeasureStoke CityMiddlesbrough
Goals / game1.671.83
Conceded / game1.171.67
xG / game1.061.47
xG conceded / game1.181.15
Historical context, not stats from this fixture. xG coverage: 5 and 6 matches.Full team comparison
How to watch

How to watch Stoke City v Middlesbrough

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Lineups

Probable XIs

Probable · confirmed ~19:00
Stoke City11 starters
31Bazunu
23Gibson
5Griffin
3Cresswell
16Wilmot
10Bae
59Kelly
9Kyremeh
4Otegbayo
8Baker
49Smit
Middlesbrough11 starters
31Brynn
2Brittain
12Ayling
29Malanda
5Jones
18Morris
8McGree
10Burgzorg
11Whittaker
45Sarmiento
9Conway
Out / doubtful
🩹 Hayden Hackney injury
Changes
Most-frequent starters over the last 11 matches. Confirmed teams land about an hour before kickoff, and any change from this XI appears here.

Every linked name opens the player page · Full lineups and injuries →

📊 Match preview and data context

No AI summary available yet for this fixture.

SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.

Stoke City v Middlesbrough · EFL Championship ·

More from this competition: EFL Championship predictions · EFL Championship odds

Questions about this match

  • When and where is Stoke City vs Middlesbrough?
    Stoke City vs Middlesbrough takes place on Tuesday 13 October at 20:00 (UK time) in the EFL Championship at bet365 Stadium, Stoke-on-Trent, Staffordshire.
  • How can I watch Stoke City vs Middlesbrough?
    Check your local official broadcaster or rights-holder for EFL Championship coverage in your region. SportSignals does not stream matches.
  • Are SportSignals predictions for Stoke City vs Middlesbrough free?
    Yes. The model's predictions, odds comparison, stats and head-to-head for Stoke City vs Middlesbrough are free to read. 18+. Predictions are informational, not betting advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. begambleaware.org.
Tips record

Tip decision pending

The pre-match publication window is still open. No Tip has been recorded yet, so this is not a no-Tip decision.

Latest possible publication cutoff · kickoff 13 Oct, 20:00 BST

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.