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EFL Championship · MW10 Turf Moor, BurnleyRef: Anthony Backhouse
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Burnley 2-2 Charlton result, stats and report

Burnley
Drew · xG 1.55
2 – 2
FT 06:15
Drew · xG 2.66
Charlton
Next: QPR v Burnley · Tue 3 Nov · Charlton v Bolton Wanderers · Tue 3 Nov
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Who won Burnley vs Charlton?

Burnley 2-2 Charlton, full time in the EFL Championship. Played UK time. Our model's pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals, which did not land.

How it played out

Level at 2–2 when it finished

No minute-by-minute record was captured for this match, so the shape of it is not drawn.

Verified final · revision 3 · 06:15Full stats
Match StoryFull breakdown

Burnley 2–2 Charlton

Burnley led twice and looked to be grinding out a home win, but Ivan Mesik equalised for Charlton in the sixth minute of stoppage time to snatch a 2-2 draw that will sting the hosts badly.

Key Takeaways
Result

Burnley and Charlton drew 2-2.

Goals

4 goals took the match over the 2.5 line.

First Goal
J
36'⚽
Jacob Bruun Larsen
JAssist: Josh Laurent
Game Flow

Expected Goals (xG)

Burnley 1.55 xGCharlton 2.66 xG
Cumulative · approximated from goal events
0'45'90'

SportSignals model forecast

Recorded before kick-off · prediction, not a Tip

Burnley to win

46%Missed

Result

Burnley2:2Charlton

Burnley v Charlton

Our model leaned Burnley to win at 46%. Burnley 2-2 Charlton. Forecast did not match the result.
📊 Match recap and data context

Burnley and Charlton drew 2-2 at Turf Moor in a match that saw our model's pick for a Burnley win at 46% probability miss the mark. Jacob Bruun Larsen put Burnley ahead in the 36th minute, Kayne Ramsay levelled for Charlton in the 50th, and Largie Ramazani restored Burnley's lead in the 57th before Charlton equalised again. Both sides have shown a tendency toward both teams scoring in recent fixtures. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.

Burnley v Charlton · EFL Championship ·

More from this competition: EFL Championship predictions · EFL Championship odds

Player ratings

Who decided it

All 22
  1. Lloyd JonesCharlton★ MOTM1 assist · 90 min7.5
  2. Jacob Bruun LarsenBurnley1 goal · 71 min7.5
  3. Largie Ramazani1 goal · 80 min7.5
  4. Kyle WalkerBurnley90 min7.4
  5. Ivan Mesik1 goal · 15 min7.3

Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

The provider forecast gives Burnley win the highest 1X2 probability at 46.5%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

Burnley
46.5%
Draw
27.8%
Charlton
25.8%
Both teams to score · Yes
47.6%
Over 2.5 goals
42.6%

Full-time forecast audit: Burnley win was the highest probability; the match result was draw.

Forecast result checked ·

Tips record

No Tip was published for this match

No selection qualified before kickoff, so there is no paid Tip to settle. The original model prediction and observed prices remain separate audit records.

Final pre-match decision · no Tip to settle

Current alternative Tips will be checked as this section comes into view
Match facts · what the record shows

10 facts from this result

The final verified live-context record and historical evidence saved before kick-off, kept as separate evidence sets.

Head-to-head evidence

Final live-fact record

  • For Charlton, the final recorded goal situation matched 1 comparable match from 10 checked matches: 0% win, 100% draw, 0% loss.Verified final
  • For Charlton, the final recorded goal situation matched 33 comparable matches from 100 checked matches: 3.0% win, 90.9% draw, 6.1% loss.Verified final
  • For Burnley, the final recorded goal situation matched 1 comparable match from 10 checked matches: 0% win, 100% draw, 0% loss.Verified final
  • For Burnley, the final recorded goal situation matched 34 comparable matches from 100 checked matches: 0% win, 100% draw, 0% loss.Verified final

Captured from live match context at . This is a retained situation record, not a post-match performance claim.

Pre-match historical evidence

  • 0-3is the most common scoreline between Burnley and Charlton, landing once across 2 league meetings on record.Immutable lifecycle evidence
  • 48league matches at home unbeaten for Burnley.Immutable lifecycle evidence
  • Burnley scored first in 5 of their last 10 league matches (50%).Immutable lifecycle evidence
  • Charlton scored first in 3 of their last 10 league matches (30%).Immutable lifecycle evidence
  • Burnley have averaged 1.6 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable lifecycle evidence
  • Charlton have averaged 0.9 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable lifecycle evidence

Immutable lifecycle evidence · Source: match facts feed. Evidence sets are labelled separately and never rebuilt from mutable post-match rows.

Questions about this result

  • What was the final score in Burnley vs Charlton?
    Burnley and Charlton drew 2-2 in the EFL Championship at Turf Moor.
  • Who scored the opening goal?
    Jacob Bruun Larsen opened the scoring in the 36th minute.
  • Who scored in the match?
    Jacob Bruun Larsen (36'), Kayne Ramsay (50'), Largie Ramazani (57'), Ivan Mesik (96').
  • How many bookings were there?
    The referee showed 3 yellow cards.
  • Who refereed the match?
    Anthony Backhouse officiated.
  • When and where was the match played?
    Burnley vs Charlton kicked off on Tuesday, 13 October 2026 UK time at Turf Moor.
  • How many corners were there in the match?
    14 corners were taken across the 90 minutes.
  • Did the model call it right?
    No. The published pick was Under 2.5 goals, and it did not land.
  • When do they play next?
    Burnley play QPR on Tuesday, 3 November 2026 UK time. Charlton play Bolton Wanderers on Tuesday, 3 November 2026 UK time.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.