This site contains betting-related content and is intended for users aged 18 and over. You must be 18 or older to gamble.
We use cookies to improve your experience. Essential cookies are always active. Non-essential cookies (functional, analytics, advertising) require your consent. Privacy Policy
By SportSignals Match Desk · Football analysis desk ·
Burnley led twice and looked to be grinding out a home win, but Ivan Mesik equalised for Charlton in the sixth minute of stoppage time to snatch a 2-2 draw that will sting the hosts badly.
Burnley led twice and looked to be grinding out a home win, but Ivan Mesik equalised for Charlton in the sixth minute of stoppage time to snatch a 2-2 draw that will sting the hosts badly.
EFL ChampionshipTue 13 Oct, 19:45
Key Takeaways
Result
Burnley and Charlton drew 2-2.
Goals
4 goals took the match over the 2.5 line.
First Goal
J
36'⚽
Jacob Bruun Larsen
JAssist: Josh Laurent
Game Flow
Expected Goals (xG)
Burnley 1.55 xGCharlton 2.66 xG
Cumulative · approximated from goal events
SportSignals model forecast
Recorded before kick-off · prediction, not a Tip
Burnley to win
46%Missed
Result
2:2
Burnley v Charlton
Our model leaned Burnley to win at 46%. Burnley 2-2 Charlton. Forecast did not match the result.
📊 Match recap and data context
Burnley and Charlton drew 2-2 at Turf Moor in a match that saw our model's pick for a Burnley win at 46% probability miss the mark. Jacob Bruun Larsen put Burnley ahead in the 36th minute, Kayne Ramsay levelled for Charlton in the 50th, and Largie Ramazani restored Burnley's lead in the 57th before Charlton equalised again. Both sides have shown a tendency toward both teams scoring in recent fixtures. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.
The provider forecast gives Burnley win the highest 1X2 probability at 46.5%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.
Burnley
46.5%
Draw
27.8%
Charlton
25.8%
Both teams to score · Yes
47.6%
Over 2.5 goals
42.6%
Full-time forecast audit: Burnley win was the highest probability; the match result was draw.
Forecast result checked ·
Tips record
No Tip was published for this match
No selection qualified before kickoff, so there is no paid Tip to settle. The original model prediction and observed prices remain separate audit records.
Final pre-match decision · no Tip to settle
Current alternative Tips will be checked as this section comes into view
Match facts · what the record shows
10 facts from this result
The final verified live-context record and historical evidence saved before kick-off, kept as separate evidence sets.