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Major League SoccerRef: Ricardo Montero
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

St. Louis City 4-2 Minnesota United result, stats and report

St. Louis City
St. Louis City
Won · xG 2.09
4 – 2
FT 18:55
Minnesota United
Lost · xG 1.61
Minnesota United
Match review
Next: St. Louis City v Portland Timbers · Thu 29 Oct · Minnesota United v Sporting KC · Thu 29 Oct
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Who won St. Louis City vs Minnesota United?

St. Louis City 4-2 Minnesota United, full time in Major League Soccer. Played UK time. Our model's pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals, which did not land.

How it played out

LOU won it 4–2

LOUMIN

No minute-by-minute record was captured for this match, so the shape of it is not drawn.

Verified final · revision 3 · 18:55Full stats
Match StoryFull breakdown

St. Louis City 4–2 Minnesota United

Minnesota United ran out 4-2 winners over St. Louis City, but three woodwork hits and a red card for the hosts made this a far messier night than the final score suggests. Connor Maguire breaks down what went wrong and who was responsible.

Major League SoccerSun 13 Sept, 01:30
Key Takeaways
Result

St. Louis City beat Minnesota United 4-2 at home.

Goals

6 goals took the match over the 2.5 line.

First Goal
T
5'⚽
Tomás Chancalay
JAssist: Joaquín Pereyra
Game Flow

Expected Goals (xG)

St. Louis City 2.09 xGMinnesota United 1.61 xG
Cumulative · approximated from goal events
0'45'90'

SportSignals model forecast

Recorded before kick-off · prediction, not a Tip

St. Louis City to win

44%Matched

Result

St. Louis City4:2Minnesota United

LOU v MIN

Our model called St. Louis City to win at 44%. St. Louis City 4-2 Minnesota United. Forecast matched the result.
📊 Match recap and data context

St. Louis City beat Minnesota United 4-2 on the road to a dominant result. Our model favored St. Louis City at 44 percent probability, and the pick landed. Both sides found the net in each of their last five matches, continuing that trend here. St. Louis City have won three of their last five while Minnesota United have managed just one win in the same span. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.

St. Louis City v Minnesota United · Major League Soccer ·

More from this competition: Major League Soccer predictions · Major League Soccer odds

Player ratings

Who decided it

All 22
  1. Dante Polvara★ MOTM90 min6.6
  2. Damion Downs14 min6.5
  3. AZ Jackson7 min6.4
  4. Maurice Malone15 min6.4
  5. Carlos Harvey90 min6.3

Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

St. Louis CityMinnesota UnitedMajor League Soccer

The provider forecast gives St. Louis City win the highest 1X2 probability at 44.2%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

LOU
44.2%
Draw
25.6%
MIN
30.2%
Both teams to score · Yes
61.0%
Over 2.5 goals
57.7%

Full-time forecast audit: St. Louis City win was the highest probability; the match result was St. Louis City win.

Forecast result checked ·

Tips record

No Tip was published for this match

No selection qualified before kickoff, so there is no paid Tip to settle. The original model prediction and observed prices remain separate audit records.

Final pre-match decision · no Tip to settle

Current alternative Tips will be checked as this section comes into view
Match facts · what the record shows

Pre-match facts retained

The historical evidence saved at kick-off, kept separate from what happened in the match.

Head-to-head evidence

Pre-match historical evidence

  • 1-2is the most common scoreline between St. Louis City and Minnesota United, landing 2 times across 6 league meetings on record.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • 4/6recorded league meetings saw both teams score (66.7%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • 10league matches at home unbeaten for St. Louis City.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • 3league matches away from home unbeaten for Minnesota United.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • St. Louis City scored first in 8 of their last 10 league matches (80%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Minnesota United scored first in 1 of their last 10 league matches (10%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • St. Louis City have averaged 2.2 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Minnesota United have averaged 1.8 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Roman Bürki has the highest listed average xGOT for St. Louis City at 0.99 across the provider's evidence window.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Kelvin Yeboah has the highest listed average xGOT for Minnesota United at 0.61 across the provider's evidence window.Immutable kick-off snapshot

Immutable kick-off snapshot · Source: match facts feed. Evidence sets are labelled separately and never rebuilt from mutable post-match rows.

Questions about this result

  • What was the final score in St. Louis City vs Minnesota United?
    LOU beat MIN 4-2 in the Major League Soccer.
  • Who scored the opening goal?
    Tomás Chancalay opened the scoring in the 5th minute.
  • Who scored in the match?
    Tomás Chancalay (5'), Daniel Ethan Edelman (18'), Carlo Holse (22'), Rafael Navarro (38'), Rafael Navarro (57'), Kelvin Yeboah (61').
  • How many bookings were there?
    The referee showed 2 yellow cards and 1 red card.
  • Who refereed the match?
    Ricardo Montero officiated.
  • When and where was the match played?
    LOU vs MIN kicked off on Sunday, 13 September 2026 UK time.
  • How many corners were there in the match?
    11 corners were taken across the 90 minutes.
  • Did the model call it right?
    No. The published pick was Under 2.5 goals, and it did not land.
  • When do they play next?
    LOU play St. Louis City on Thursday, 29 October 2026 UK time. MIN play Minnesota United on Thursday, 29 October 2026 UK time.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.