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SJ Earthquakes 1-0 Houston Dynamo, full time in Major League Soccer. Played UK time. Our model's pre-match pick was Both teams to score, which did not land. Before this meeting the sides had met once in the fixtures we hold, and it was drawn.
By SportSignals Match Desk · Football analysis desk ·
Daniel Munie's first-half strike proved enough for SJ Earthquakes to beat Houston Dynamo 1-0, with the Earthquakes goalkeeper making six saves to protect a clean sheet the statistics barely justify.
Daniel Munie's first-half strike proved enough for SJ Earthquakes to beat Houston Dynamo 1-0, with the Earthquakes goalkeeper making six saves to protect a clean sheet the statistics barely justify.
Major League SoccerSun 13 Sept, 03:30
Key Takeaways
Result
SJ Earthquakes beat Houston Dynamo 1-0 at home.
Goals
A single goal kept the match under the 2.5 line.
First Goal
D
38'⚽
Daniel Munie
BAssist: Beau Leroux
Game Flow
Expected Goals (xG)
SJ Earthquakes 1.12 xGHouston Dynamo 0.89 xG
Cumulative · approximated from goal events
SportSignals model forecast
Recorded before kick-off · prediction, not a Tip
SJ Earthquakes to win
38%Matched
Result
1:0
SJE v HOU
Our model called SJ Earthquakes to win at 38%. SJ Earthquakes 1-0 Houston Dynamo. Forecast matched the result.
📊 Match recap and data context
San Jose Earthquakes beat Houston Dynamo 1-0 in Major League Soccer. Our model backed the Earthquakes at 38 percent probability and the pick landed. San Jose's recent form had been mixed, posting one win, two draws and two losses across their last five matches, while Houston arrived in stronger shape with three wins from their previous five outings. The Dynamo's defensive record this season suggested they would keep things tight, but the Earthquakes found the breakthrough they needed. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.
SJ Earthquakes v Houston Dynamo · Major League Soccer ·
The provider forecast gives SJ Earthquakes win the highest 1X2 probability at 37.7%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.
SJE
37.7%
Draw
24.8%
HOU
37.5%
Both teams to score · Yes
60.8%
Over 2.5 goals
59.1%
Full-time forecast audit: SJ Earthquakes win was the highest probability; the match result was SJ Earthquakes win.
Forecast result checked ·
Tips record
No Tip was published for this match
No selection qualified before kickoff, so there is no paid Tip to settle. The original model prediction and observed prices remain separate audit records.
Final pre-match decision · no Tip to settle
Current alternative Tips will be checked as this section comes into view
Match facts · what the record shows
Pre-match facts retained
The historical evidence saved at kick-off, kept separate from what happened in the match.
2-1is the most common scoreline between SJ Earthquakes and Houston Dynamo, landing 6 times across 27 league meetings on record.Immutable kick-off snapshot
17/27recorded league meetings saw both teams score (63.0%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
5league matches away from home unbeaten for Houston Dynamo.Immutable kick-off snapshot
SJ Earthquakes scored first in 5 of their last 10 league matches (50%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
Houston Dynamo scored first in 7 of their last 10 league matches (70%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
SJ Earthquakes have averaged 1.2 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable kick-off snapshot
Houston Dynamo have averaged 1.3 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable kick-off snapshot
Diadié Samassékou has the highest listed average xGOT for Houston Dynamo at 0.57 across the provider's evidence window.Immutable kick-off snapshot
Immutable kick-off snapshot · Source: match facts feed. Evidence sets are labelled separately and never rebuilt from mutable post-match rows.
Questions about this result
▸What was the final score in SJ Earthquakes vs Houston Dynamo?