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Swedish Allsvenskan · MW19Ref: Granit Maqedonci
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Sirius 0-1 Malmö FF result, stats and report

Sirius
Lost · xG 0.13
0 – 1
FT
Won · xG 0.91
Malmö FF
Next: Sirius v Elfsborg · Sun 18 Oct · Malmö FF v Kalmar · Mon 12 Oct
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

SiriusMalmö FFSwedish Allsvenskan

The provider forecast gives Sirius win the highest 1X2 probability at 40.2%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

SIR
40.2%
Draw
23.8%
MAL
35.9%
Both teams to score · Yes
64.7%
Over 2.5 goals
63.9%

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorelost
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultwon
Over 1.5 goalslost
Over 2.5 goalslost
Over 3.5 goalswon
Full-time resultlost
Double chancelost
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveswon

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

40%
24%
36%
40.2%SIR
23.8%Draw
35.9%MAL

Both Teams to Score

65%
Yes 64.7%No 35.3%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

64%
Yes 63.9%No 36.1%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
84%
Over 2.5
64%
Over 3.5
42%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
9.8%
2-1
8.6%
1-2
8.2%
2-2
7.2%
1-0
6.5%
0-1
5.8%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates SIR or draw at 51.9%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 39.4%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 8.9%.

Double Chance

1X
51.9%
12
4.2%
X2
43.9%

Half-Time Result

SIR
32.2%
Draw
39.4%
MAL
28.4%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
SIR
Draw
MAL
SIR
24.0%
5.4%
3.3%
Draw
13.8%
14.2%
10.8%
MAL
3.0%
5.4%
20.2%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
8.9%
No
91.0%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.