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Sassuolo 1-1 AC Milan, full time in Serie A. Played UK time. Our model's pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals, which landed. Before this meeting the sides had met once in the fixtures we hold, and Sassuolo won it.
By SportSignals Match Desk · Football analysis desk ·
AC Milan came from behind to earn a 1-1 draw at Sassuolo, with Cas Odenthal levelling five minutes after Adrien Rabiot had put the visitors ahead. Milan's unbeaten run continues but they will know they had enough to win this.
AC Milan came from behind to earn a 1-1 draw at Sassuolo, with Cas Odenthal levelling five minutes after Adrien Rabiot had put the visitors ahead. Milan's unbeaten run continues but they will know they had enough to win this.
Serie ASun 11 Oct, 17:00
Key Takeaways
Result
Sassuolo and AC Milan drew 1-1.
Goals
Two goals kept the match under the 2.5 line.
First Goal
A
63'⚽
Adrien Rabiot
LAssist: Luka Modrić
Game Flow
Expected Goals (xG)
Sassuolo 1.24 xGAC Milan 1.31 xG
Cumulative · approximated from goal events
SportSignals model forecast
Recorded before kick-off · prediction, not a Tip
AC Milan to win
45%Missed
Result
1:1
Sassuolo v AC Milan
Our model leaned AC Milan to win at 45%. Sassuolo 1-1 AC Milan. Forecast did not match the result.
📊 Match recap and data context
Sassuolo and AC Milan drew 1-1 at the MAPEI Stadium. Our model backed Milan to win at 45 percent probability; the pick missed. Adrien Rabiot gave Milan the lead in the 63rd minute, but Cas Odenthal levelled for Sassuolo five minutes later. The result extended Sassuolo's winless run while denying Milan three points in a competitive encounter. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.
The provider forecast gives AC Milan win the highest 1X2 probability at 45.3%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.
Sassuolo
27.6%
Draw
27.1%
AC Milan
45.3%
Both teams to score · Yes
54.5%
Over 2.5 goals
49.8%
Full-time forecast audit: AC Milan win was the highest probability; the match result was draw.
Forecast result checked ·
Tips record
No Tip was published for this match
No selection qualified before kickoff, so there is no paid Tip to settle. The original model prediction and observed prices remain separate audit records.
Final pre-match decision · no Tip to settle
Current alternative Tips will be checked as this section comes into view
Match facts · what the record shows
10 facts from this result
The final verified live-context record and historical evidence saved before kick-off, kept as separate evidence sets.