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Serie A · MW6 MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore, Reggio EmiliaRef: Francesco Fourneau
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Sassuolo 1-1 AC Milan result, stats and report

Sassuolo
Drew · xG 1.24
1 – 1
FT 02:45
Drew · xG 1.31
AC Milan
Next: Sassuolo v Lazio · Tue 27 Oct · AC Milan v Bologna · Wed 28 Oct
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Who won Sassuolo vs AC Milan?

Sassuolo 1-1 AC Milan, full time in Serie A. Played UK time. Our model's pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals, which landed. Before this meeting the sides had met once in the fixtures we hold, and Sassuolo won it.

How it played out

Level at 1–1 when it finished

No minute-by-minute record was captured for this match, so the shape of it is not drawn.

Verified final · revision 4 · 02:45Full stats
Match StoryFull breakdown

Sassuolo 1–1 AC Milan

AC Milan came from behind to earn a 1-1 draw at Sassuolo, with Cas Odenthal levelling five minutes after Adrien Rabiot had put the visitors ahead. Milan's unbeaten run continues but they will know they had enough to win this.

Key Takeaways
Result

Sassuolo and AC Milan drew 1-1.

Goals

Two goals kept the match under the 2.5 line.

First Goal
A
63'⚽
Adrien Rabiot
LAssist: Luka Modrić
Game Flow

Expected Goals (xG)

Sassuolo 1.24 xGAC Milan 1.31 xG
Cumulative · approximated from goal events
0'45'90'

SportSignals model forecast

Recorded before kick-off · prediction, not a Tip

AC Milan to win

45%Missed

Result

Sassuolo1:1AC Milan

Sassuolo v AC Milan

Our model leaned AC Milan to win at 45%. Sassuolo 1-1 AC Milan. Forecast did not match the result.
📊 Match recap and data context

Sassuolo and AC Milan drew 1-1 at the MAPEI Stadium. Our model backed Milan to win at 45 percent probability; the pick missed. Adrien Rabiot gave Milan the lead in the 63rd minute, but Cas Odenthal levelled for Sassuolo five minutes later. The result extended Sassuolo's winless run while denying Milan three points in a competitive encounter. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.

Sassuolo v AC Milan · Serie A ·

More from this competition: Serie A predictions · Serie A odds

Player ratings

Who decided it

All 22
  1. Diego Moreira★ MOTM90 min7.7
  2. Adrien RabiotAC Milan1 goal · 90 min7.7
  3. Arijanet MurićSassuolo90 min7.6
  4. Darryl BakolaSassuolo90 min7.2
  5. Cas Odenthal1 goal · 64 min7.2

Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

The provider forecast gives AC Milan win the highest 1X2 probability at 45.3%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

Sassuolo
27.6%
Draw
27.1%
AC Milan
45.3%
Both teams to score · Yes
54.5%
Over 2.5 goals
49.8%

Full-time forecast audit: AC Milan win was the highest probability; the match result was draw.

Forecast result checked ·

Tips record

No Tip was published for this match

No selection qualified before kickoff, so there is no paid Tip to settle. The original model prediction and observed prices remain separate audit records.

Final pre-match decision · no Tip to settle

Current alternative Tips will be checked as this section comes into view
Match facts · what the record shows

10 facts from this result

The final verified live-context record and historical evidence saved before kick-off, kept as separate evidence sets.

Head-to-head evidence

Final live-fact record

  • For AC Milan, the final recorded goal situation matched 5 comparable matches from 26 checked matches: 0% win, 100% draw, 0% loss.Verified final
  • For AC Milan, the final recorded goal situation matched 27 comparable matches from 100 checked matches: 0% win, 100% draw, 0% loss.Verified final
  • For Sassuolo, the final recorded goal situation matched 5 comparable matches from 26 checked matches: 0% win, 100% draw, 0% loss.Verified final
  • For Sassuolo, the final recorded goal situation matched 21 comparable matches from 100 checked matches: 0% win, 100% draw, 0% loss.Verified final

Captured from live match context at . This is a retained situation record, not a post-match performance claim.

Pre-match historical evidence

  • 1-2is the most common scoreline between Sassuolo and AC Milan, landing 4 times across 24 league meetings on record.Immutable lifecycle evidence
  • 15/24recorded league meetings saw both teams score (62.5%).Immutable lifecycle evidence
  • 5league matches at home unbeaten for Sassuolo.Immutable lifecycle evidence
  • 23league matches away from home unbeaten for AC Milan.Immutable lifecycle evidence
  • Sassuolo scored first in 5 of their last 10 league matches (50%).Immutable lifecycle evidence
  • AC Milan scored first in 6 of their last 10 league matches (60%).Immutable lifecycle evidence

Immutable lifecycle evidence · Source: match facts feed. Evidence sets are labelled separately and never rebuilt from mutable post-match rows.

Questions about this result

  • What was the final score in Sassuolo vs AC Milan?
    Sassuolo and AC Milan drew 1-1 in the Serie A at MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore.
  • Who scored the opening goal?
    Adrien Rabiot opened the scoring in the 63rd minute.
  • Who scored in the match?
    Adrien Rabiot (63'), Cas Odenthal (68').
  • How many bookings were there?
    The referee showed 6 yellow cards.
  • Who refereed the match?
    Francesco Fourneau officiated.
  • When and where was the match played?
    Sassuolo vs AC Milan kicked off on Sunday, 11 October 2026 UK time at MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore.
  • How many corners were there in the match?
    8 corners were taken across the 90 minutes.
  • Did the model call it right?
    Yes. The published pick was Under 2.5 goals, and it landed.
  • When do they play next?
    Sassuolo play Lazio on Tuesday, 27 October 2026 UK time. AC Milan play Bologna on Wednesday, 28 October 2026 UK time.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.