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Serie A · MW6 MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore, Reggio EmiliaRef: Francesco Fourneau
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Sassuolo 1-1 AC Milan result, stats and report

Sassuolo
Drew · xG 1.24
1 – 1
FT 02:45
Drew · xG 1.31
AC Milan
Next: Sassuolo v Lazio · Tue 27 Oct · AC Milan v Bologna · Wed 28 Oct
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

SassuoloAC MilanSerie A

The provider forecast gives AC Milan win the highest 1X2 probability at 45.3%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

Sassuolo
27.6%
Draw
27.1%
AC Milan
45.3%
Both teams to score · Yes
54.5%
Over 2.5 goals
49.8%

Full-time forecast audit: AC Milan win was the highest probability; the match result was draw.

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorewon
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultwon
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalswon
Over 3.5 goalswon
Full-time resultlost
Double chancewon
Correct scorewon
Both teams to score in both halveswon

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

28%
27%
45%
27.6%Sassuolo
27.1%Draw
45.3%AC Milan

Both Teams to Score

54%
Yes 54.5%No 45.5%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

50%
Yes 49.8%No 50.2%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
74%
Over 2.5
50%
Over 3.5
28%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
12.4%
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.2%
0-2
7.7%
1-0
7.7%
0-0
7.5%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates AC Milan or draw at 52.1%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 43.8%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 2.9%.

Double Chance

1X
40.5%
12
7.5%
X2
52.1%

Half-Time Result

Sassuolo
23.0%
Draw
43.8%
AC Milan
33.2%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
Sassuolo
Draw
AC Milan
Sassuolo
14.5%
5.8%
2.7%
Draw
9.9%
17.0%
15.5%
AC Milan
1.9%
5.9%
26.7%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
2.9%
No
97.1%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.