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San Diego 2-3 SJ Earthquakes, full time in Major League Soccer. Played UK time. Our model's pre-match pick was Both teams to score — No, which did not land. Before this meeting the sides had met once in the fixtures we hold, and SJ Earthquakes won it.
SJ Earthquakes came from a position of dominance to hold off a late San Diego fightback, winning 3-2 in a match that had red cards, VAR drama, and a 90th-minute penalty miss.
Read the reviewNo minute-by-minute record was captured for this match, so the shape of it is not drawn.
San Diego 2–3 SJ Earthquakes
SJ Earthquakes came from a position of dominance to hold off a late San Diego fightback, winning 3-2 in a match that had red cards, VAR drama, and a 90th-minute penalty miss.
SJ Earthquakes won 3-2 away at San Diego.
5 goals took the match over the 2.5 line.
Expected Goals (xG)
SportSignals model forecast
Recorded before kick-off · prediction, not a Tip
San Diego to win
Result
2:3
SDL v SJE
San Diego fell to SJ Earthquakes 2-3 in MLS play. Our model favored San Diego at 53 percent probability; the pick missed. Both sides scored, continuing a pattern seen in 60 percent of Earthquakes recent outings. San Diego arrived in poor form at 1-4 across five matches, while the visitors held a narrow edge in their head-to-head record. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.
San Diego v SJ Earthquakes · Major League Soccer ·
More from this competition: Major League Soccer predictions · Major League Soccer odds
Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip
The provider forecast gives San Diego win the highest 1X2 probability at 52.8%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.
Full-time forecast audit: San Diego win was the highest probability; the match result was SJ Earthquakes win.
Forecast result checked ·
No selection qualified before kickoff, so there is no paid Tip to settle. The original model prediction and observed prices remain separate audit records.
Final pre-match decision · no Tip to settle
The historical evidence saved at kick-off, kept separate from what happened in the match.
Immutable kick-off snapshot · Source: match facts feed. Evidence sets are labelled separately and never rebuilt from mutable post-match rows.
Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.
After 31 played. Movement is measured against the table at kickoff.
