Skip to main content
Live
✦ SportSignals+ just now
Value SmartBetsNEW Props Predictions Live My Bets Alerts
Liga Portugal · MW6Ref: Gustavo Fernandes Correia
Full time

This match had live commentary, stats and in-play prices; no momentum.

Rio Ave 3-3 Estrela Amadora result, stats and report

Rio Ave
Rio Ave
Drew · xG 1.28
3 – 3
FT 11:35
Estrela Amadora
Drew · xG 2.73
Estrela Amadora
Match review
Next: Rio Ave v Sporting Braga · Sun 8 Nov · Estrela Amadora v Benfica · Sun 8 Nov
Skip match sections

Who won Rio Ave vs Estrela Amadora?

Rio Ave 3-3 Estrela Amadora, full time in Liga Portugal. Played UK time. Our model's pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals, which did not land. Before this meeting the sides had met once in the fixtures we hold, and Rio Ave won it.

How it played out

Level at 3–3 when it finished

RIOEST

No minute-by-minute record was captured for this match, so the shape of it is not drawn.

Verified final · revision 3 · 11:35Full stats
Match StoryFull breakdown

Rio Ave 3–3 Estrela Amadora

Estrela Amadora dominated possession and led twice through Abraham Marcus, but Rio Ave showed uncommon desire to claw back a point in a six-goal thriller in the Liga Portugal.

Liga PortugalMon 14 Sept, 18:45
Key Takeaways
Result

Rio Ave and Estrela Amadora drew 3-3.

Goals

6 goals took the match over the 2.5 line.

First Goal
I
21'⚽
Ianis Stoica
LAssist: Leandro Antonetti
Game Flow

Expected Goals (xG)

Rio Ave 1.28 xGEstrela Amadora 2.73 xG
Cumulative · approximated from goal events
0'45'90'

SportSignals model forecast

Recorded before kick-off · prediction, not a Tip

Estrela Amadora to win

44%Missed

Result

Rio Ave3:3Estrela Amadora

RIO v EST

Our model leaned Estrela Amadora to win at 44%. Rio Ave 3-3 Estrela Amadora. Forecast did not match the result.
📊 Match recap and data context

Rio Ave drew 3-3 with Estrela Amadora in Liga Portugal, a result that cost our model's pick of an Estrela win at 44 probability. Ianis Stoica opened the scoring for Estrela in the 21st minute, Francisco Petrasso levelled before half-time, and Abraham Marcus restored Estrela's lead in the 53rd. The match finished level despite Estrela's perfect record of both teams scoring in their last five outings. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.

Rio Ave v Estrela Amadora · Liga Portugal ·

More from this competition: Liga Portugal predictions · Liga Portugal odds

Player ratings

Who decided it

All 22
  1. Jalen BlesaRIO★ MOTM1 goal · 90 min7.5
  2. Joan JordánEST27 min6.9
  3. Lovro ZvonarekEST90 min6.9
  4. Malik SelloukiRIO22 min6.2
  5. Sebastian ClemmensenRIO54 min6.1

Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

Rio AveEstrela AmadoraLiga Portugal

The provider forecast gives Estrela Amadora win the highest 1X2 probability at 43.9%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

RIO
28.6%
Draw
27.5%
EST
43.9%
Both teams to score · Yes
50.3%
Over 2.5 goals
46.1%

Full-time forecast audit: Estrela Amadora win was the highest probability; the match result was draw.

Forecast result checked ·

Tips record

No Tip was published for this match

No selection qualified before kickoff, so there is no paid Tip to settle. The original model prediction and observed prices remain separate audit records.

Final pre-match decision · no Tip to settle

Current alternative Tips will be checked as this section comes into view
Match facts · what the record shows

Pre-match facts retained

The historical evidence saved at kick-off, kept separate from what happened in the match.

Head-to-head evidence

Pre-match historical evidence

  • 1-0is the most common scoreline between Rio Ave and Estrela Amadora, landing once across 6 league meetings on record.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • 4/6recorded league meetings saw both teams score (66.7%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • 3league matches at home unbeaten for Rio Ave.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • 3league matches away from home unbeaten for Estrela Amadora.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Rio Ave scored first in 3 of their last 10 league matches (30%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Estrela Amadora scored first in 3 of their last 10 league matches (30%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Rio Ave have averaged 0.6 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Estrela Amadora have averaged 1.6 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Jalen Blesa has the highest listed average xGOT for Rio Ave at 0.52 across the provider's evidence window.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Stefan Leković has the highest listed average xGOT for Estrela Amadora at 0.51 across the provider's evidence window.Immutable kick-off snapshot

Immutable kick-off snapshot · Source: match facts feed. Evidence sets are labelled separately and never rebuilt from mutable post-match rows.

Questions about this result

  • What was the final score in Rio Ave vs Estrela Amadora?
    RIO and EST drew 3-3 in the Liga Portugal.
  • Who scored the opening goal?
    Ianis Stoica opened the scoring in the 21st minute.
  • Who scored in the match?
    Ianis Stoica (21'), Francisco Petrasso (48'), Abraham Marcus (53'), R. Galčík (56'), Abraham Marcus (61'), Jalen Blesa (78').
  • How many bookings were there?
    The referee showed 5 yellow cards.
  • Who refereed the match?
    Gustavo Fernandes Correia officiated.
  • When and where was the match played?
    RIO vs EST kicked off on Monday, 14 September 2026 UK time.
  • How many corners were there in the match?
    9 corners were taken across the 90 minutes.
  • Did the model call it right?
    No. The published pick was Under 2.5 goals, and it did not land.
  • When do they play next?
    RIO play Rio Ave on Sunday, 8 November 2026 UK time. EST play Estrela Amadora on Sunday, 8 November 2026 UK time.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.