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Liga Portugal ยท MW6Ref: Gustavo Fernandes Correia
Full time

Rio Ave 3-3 Estrela Amadora result, stats and report

Rio Ave
Drew ยท xG 1.28
3 โ€“ 3
FT
Drew ยท xG 2.73
Estrela Amadora
Next: Alverca v Rio Ave ยท Sat 19 Sept ยท Estrela Amadora v Academico Viseu ยท Sun 20 Sept
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Forecast audit ยท prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

Rio AveEstrela AmadoraLiga Portugal

The provider forecast gives Estrela Amadora win the highest 1X2 probability at 43.9%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

RIO
28.6%
Draw
27.5%
EST
43.9%
Both teams to score ยท Yes
50.3%
Over 2.5 goals
46.1%

Forecast result checked ยท

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorewon
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultwon
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalslost
Over 3.5 goalslost
Full-time resultlost
Double chancewon
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveslost

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

29%
27%
44%
28.6%RIO
27.5%Draw
43.9%EST

Both Teams to Score

50%
Yes 50.3%No 49.7%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

46%
Yes 46.1%No 53.9%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
71%
Over 2.5
46%
Over 3.5
25%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
12.4%
0-1
11.3%
1-2
8.9%
0-0
8.8%
1-0
8.6%
0-2
8.1%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates EST or draw at 46.3%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 46.7%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 2.6%.

Double Chance

1X
44.9%
12
8.8%
X2
46.3%

Half-Time Result

RIO
24.2%
Draw
46.7%
EST
29.1%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
RIO
Draw
EST
RIO
17.4%
4.8%
3.0%
Draw
13.3%
19.8%
13.2%
EST
1.9%
5.6%
21.1%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
2.6%
No
97.4%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ ยท Past performance does not guarantee future results ยท BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ ยท Past performance does not guarantee future results ยท BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.