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La Liga · MW8 Reale Arena, Donostia-San SebastiánRef: Miguel Sesma Espinosa
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Real Sociedad 3-2 Deportivo La Coruña result, stats and report

Real Sociedad
Won · xG 1.01
3 – 2
FT 02:15
Lost · xG 2.12
Deportivo La Coruña
Next: Real Sociedad v Lyon · Thu 5 Nov · Deportivo La Coruña v Osasuna · Mon 2 Nov
Skip match sections

Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

Real SociedadDeportivo La CoruñaLa Liga

The provider forecast gives Deportivo La Coruña win the highest 1X2 probability at 36.7%. A separately qualified SportSignals Tip has an official settlement record for this fixture.

Real Sociedad
36.5%
Draw
26.8%
COR
36.7%
Both teams to score · Yes
53.6%
Over 2.5 goals
48.9%

Full-time forecast audit: Deportivo La Coruña win was the highest probability; the match result was Real Sociedad win.

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorewon
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultwon
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalslost
Over 3.5 goalslost
Full-time resultlost
Double chancewon
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveslost

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

36%
27%
37%
36.5%Real Sociedad
26.8%Draw
36.7%COR

Both Teams to Score

54%
Yes 53.6%No 46.4%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

49%
Yes 48.9%No 51.1%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
74%
Over 2.5
49%
Over 3.5
27%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
12.6%
0-1
9.6%
1-0
9.3%
1-2
8.4%
2-1
8.3%
0-0
7.5%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates Real Sociedad or draw at 46.7%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 44.4%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 4.4%.

Double Chance

1X
46.7%
12
7.5%
X2
45.8%

Half-Time Result

Real Sociedad
29.0%
Draw
44.4%
COR
26.6%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
Real Sociedad
Draw
COR
Real Sociedad
20.0%
6.3%
2.8%
Draw
12.4%
16.8%
14.5%
COR
2.2%
5.6%
19.4%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
4.4%
No
95.6%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.