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By SportSignals Match Desk · Football analysis desk ·
Real Sociedad won 3-2 against Deportivo La Coruña despite being second-best for large parts of the match, as two red cards and clinical finishing in the first hour proved decisive. Deportivo had more of everything but the scoreline.
Real Sociedad won 3-2 against Deportivo La Coruña despite being second-best for large parts of the match, as two red cards and clinical finishing in the first hour proved decisive. Deportivo had more of everything but the scoreline.
La LigaSun 11 Oct, 15:15
Key Takeaways
Result
Real Sociedad beat Deportivo La Coruña 3-2 at home.
Goals
5 goals took the match over the 2.5 line.
Chance quality
Real Sociedad won against the run of the chances: Real Sociedad 1.01 to Deportivo La Coruña 2.12 on expected goals, which favoured Deportivo La Coruña.
First Goal
J
29'⚽
Jon Martín Vicente
CAssist: Carlos Soler
Game Flow
Expected Goals (xG)
Real Sociedad 1.01 xGDeportivo La Coruña 2.12 xG
Cumulative · approximated from goal events
SportSignals model forecast
Recorded before kick-off · prediction, not a Tip
Deportivo La Coruña to win
37%Missed
Result
3:2
Real Sociedad v COR
Our model leaned Deportivo La Coruña to win at 37%. Real Sociedad 3-2 Deportivo La Coruña. Forecast did not match the result.
📊 Match recap and data context
Real Sociedad beat Deportivo La Coruña 3-2 at the Reale Arena in a match where our model favored the visitors at 37 percent probability; the pick missed. Sociedad struck three times in the first half and early second period through Jon Martín Vicente, Arsen Zakharyan and Gonçalo Guedes. Deportivo pulled back two goals but could not complete the comeback. Both sides found the net, extending Sociedad's recent pattern of high-scoring affairs. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.
The provider forecast gives Deportivo La Coruña win the highest 1X2 probability at 36.7%. A separately qualified SportSignals Tip has an official settlement record for this fixture.
Real Sociedad
36.5%
Draw
26.8%
COR
36.7%
Both teams to score · Yes
53.6%
Over 2.5 goals
48.9%
Full-time forecast audit: Deportivo La Coruña win was the highest probability; the match result was Real Sociedad win.
Forecast result checked ·
Tip record · publication ledgerProof it was published before kickoffImmutable
✦ TIP
SportSignals Tip settlement
Official terminal ledger · each row keeps its exact result
La Liga· published 03:55lost
Deportivo La Coruna to win
Logged at 5.74 with PinnacleNot licensed in the UK
Pinnacle offered this at 01:05 on 11 Oct, but you can't bet there from the UK.
Publication provenance
Immutable Tips ledger · record 754c8cc6-2d9a-4af9-9cb7-69d5edef242a · model publication version not recorded
Source: immutable SportSignals Tips publication ledger. Provider predictions and market prices are separate records and never create a Tip or a settlement result.
Match facts · what the record shows
10 facts from this result
The final verified live-context record and historical evidence saved before kick-off, kept as separate evidence sets.
For Deportivo La Coruña, the final recorded goal situation matched 2 comparable matches from 16 checked matches: 0% win, 0% draw, 100% loss.Verified final
For Deportivo La Coruña, the final recorded goal situation matched 10 comparable matches from 67 checked matches: 0% win, 0% draw, 100% loss.Verified final
For Real Sociedad, the final recorded goal situation matched 2 comparable matches from 16 checked matches: 100% win, 0% draw, 0% loss.Verified final
For Real Sociedad, the final recorded goal situation matched 20 comparable matches from 100 checked matches: 100% win, 0% draw, 0% loss.Verified final
Captured from live match context at . This is a retained situation record, not a post-match performance claim.
Pre-match historical evidence
0-0is the most common scoreline between Real Sociedad and Deportivo La Coruña, landing 2 times across 8 league meetings on record.Immutable lifecycle evidence
4/8recorded league meetings saw both teams score (50%).Immutable lifecycle evidence
6league matches away from home unbeaten for Deportivo La Coruña.Immutable lifecycle evidence
Real Sociedad scored first in 6 of their last 10 league matches (60%).Immutable lifecycle evidence
Deportivo La Coruña scored first in 3 of their last 10 league matches (30%).Immutable lifecycle evidence
Real Sociedad have averaged 1.4 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable lifecycle evidence
Immutable lifecycle evidence · Source: match facts feed. Evidence sets are labelled separately and never rebuilt from mutable post-match rows.
Questions about this result
▸What was the final score in Real Sociedad vs Deportivo La Coruña?