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La Liga · MW1 Estadio Santiago Bernabéu, MadridRef: Mateo Busquets Ferrer
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Real Madrid 4-1 Real Sociedad result, stats and report

Real Madrid
Won · xG 2.55
4 – 1
FT
Lost · xG 0.63
Real Sociedad
The Match Review, as soon as it publishes.
Next: Real Madrid v Villarreal · Sat 10 Oct · Real Sociedad v Deportivo La Coruña · Sun 11 Oct
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

Real MadridReal SociedadLa Liga

The provider forecast gives Real Madrid win the highest 1X2 probability at 61.7%. A separately qualified SportSignals Tip has an official settlement record for this fixture.

Real Madrid
61.7%
Draw
22.3%
Real Sociedad
16.0%
Both teams to score · Yes
49.4%
Over 2.5 goals
53.1%

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorelost
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultlost
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalswon
Over 3.5 goalslost
Full-time resultwon
Double chancewon
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveslost

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

62%
22%
16%
61.7%Real Madrid
22.3%Draw
16.0%Real Sociedad

Both Teams to Score

49%
Yes 49.4%No 50.6%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

53%
Yes 53.1%No 46.9%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
76%
Over 2.5
53%
Over 3.5
32%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-0
12.4%
2-0
11.1%
1-1
9.4%
2-1
9.3%
0-0
7.1%
3-0
6.9%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates Real Madrid or draw at 61.2%; the most likely half-time state is Real Madrid leading at half-time at 44.1%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 13.2%.

Double Chance

1X
61.2%
12
7.1%
X2
31.7%

Half-Time Result

Real Madrid
44.1%
Draw
39.3%
Real Sociedad
16.5%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
Real Madrid
Draw
Real Sociedad
Real Madrid
35.9%
4.3%
2.1%
Draw
20.1%
13.3%
6.4%
Real Sociedad
4.2%
4.8%
8.9%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
13.2%
No
86.8%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.