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La Liga ยท MW8 Estadio Santiago Bernabรฉu, Madrid

From kick-off: live commentary, stats and in-play prices. No momentum for this competition.

Real Madrid vs Villarreal prediction, odds and how to watch

Kickoff and the final result. Lineups and goals are one switch more.
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Should you back Real Madrid or Villarreal?

Real Madrid vs Villarreal kicks off UK time in La Liga. The match is at Estadio Santiago Bernabรฉu, Madrid. Our model has not published a pick for this match yet. Picks and prices land closer to kick-off. These sides have met 2 times in the fixtures we hold, with Real Madrid winning 2, Villarreal winning 0 and 0 drawn.

Match intelligence ยท not a tip

Real Madrid v Villarreal: what the model sees

Match-result probability ยท model

A current match-result forecast is unavailable for this fixture.

Head to head ยท last 6Full H2H โ†’

No recorded meetings between these two sides yet.

Provider forecast ยท Prediction tab ยท Methodology

Match facts before kick-off

No approved historical Match Facts are available for this fixture. Nothing is inferred from missing provider coverage.

Match Facts feed warming up

Form & xG ยท last 6 games

Rolling across all competitions
12.9
xG for
14โ–ฒ +1.1
Goals
8.3
xGA
Last 6 matchesover-performing xG
12.0
xG for
11โ–ผ -1.0
Goals
8.7
xGA
Last 6 matchesunder-performing xG
Real MadridNewest first

Goalsoutlined xG

Real Madrid recent goals and expected goals, newest match first
MatchResultGoalsxG
1L10.30
2W32.81
3W42.90
4W23.77
5L02.02
6W41.10
VillarrealNewest first

Goalsoutlined xG

Villarreal recent goals and expected goals, newest match first
MatchResultGoalsxG
1W32.90
2W33.48
3L11.69
4L21.42
5L21.61
6L00.93
Real Madrid have taken more points than their chances were worth: 12 points against 11.0 expected. Villarreal have taken fewer points than their chances were worth: 6 points against 10.2 expected.Expected points reruns each match from its chances alone.
Real Madrid generated 12.9 xG across their last 6 matches and scored 14, 1.1 above that chance total. Villarreal generated 12.0 xG across their last 6 matches and scored 11, 1.0 below that chance total.

Team comparison ยท recent form

Real Madrid: 6 matches ยท Villarreal: 6
Recent team comparison. Real Madrid sample 6; Villarreal sample 6.
MeasureReal MadridVillarreal
Goals / game2.331.83
Conceded / game1.171.83
xG / game2.152
xG conceded / game1.381.45
Historical context, not stats from this fixture. xG coverage: 6 and 6 matches.Full team comparison
How to watch

How to watch Real Madrid v Villarreal

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Lineups

Probable XIs

Probable ยท confirmed ~19:00
Real Madrid11 starters
1Courtois
24Huijsendoubt
20Garcรญa
8Valverde
5Bellingham
15Gรผler
38Palacios
7Junior
16Garcรญa
30Mastantuono
Villarreal11 starters
25Tenas
12Veiga
4Marรญn
15Mouriรฑo
18Gueye
14Comesaรฑa
21Pino
11Lรณpez
17Buchanan
20Moleiro
9Mikautadze
Out / doubtful
๐Ÿฉน Kylian Mbappรฉ injury ยท ๐Ÿฉน Thibaut Courtois injury ยท ๐Ÿฉน Rodrygo injury ยท ๐Ÿฉน Ferland Mendy injury ยท ๐Ÿฉน Brahim Dรญaz injury ยท ๐Ÿฉน Federico Valverde injury ยท โ“ Dean Huijsen suspended ยท ๐Ÿฉน Alfonso Pedraza injury ยท ๐Ÿฉน Sergi Cardona injury ยท ๐Ÿฉน Juan Foyth injury ยท ๐Ÿฉน Santi Comesaรฑa injury
Changes
Most-frequent starters over the last 11 matches. Confirmed teams land about an hour before kickoff, and any change from this XI appears here.

Every linked name opens the player page ยท Full lineups and injuries โ†’

๐Ÿ“Š Match preview and data context

No AI summary available yet for this fixture.

SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.

Real Madrid v Villarreal ยท La Liga ยท

More from this competition: La Liga predictions ยท La Liga odds

Questions about this match

  • When and where is Real Madrid vs Villarreal?
    Real Madrid vs Villarreal takes place on Saturday 10 October at 20:00 (UK time) in the La Liga at Estadio Santiago Bernabรฉu, Madrid.
  • What is the head-to-head record between Real Madrid and Villarreal?
    In their last 2 meetings, Real Madrid won 2, Villarreal won 0, with 0 draws. Both teams scored in 1 of those 2.
  • How can I watch Real Madrid vs Villarreal?
    Check your local official broadcaster or rights-holder for La Liga coverage in your region. SportSignals does not stream matches.
  • Are SportSignals predictions for Real Madrid vs Villarreal free?
    Yes. The model's predictions, odds comparison, stats and head-to-head for Real Madrid vs Villarreal are free to read. 18+. Predictions are informational, not betting advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. begambleaware.org.
Tips record

Tip decision pending

The pre-match publication window is still open. No Tip has been recorded yet, so this is not a no-Tip decision.

Latest possible publication cutoff ยท kickoff 10 Oct, 20:00 BST

No alternative Tips are published right now

The public ledger and methodology remain available, and you can follow this fixture for the next verified match update.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ ยท Past performance does not guarantee future results ยท BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.