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UEFA Champions League · MW2 Leipzig Stadium, LeipzigRef: N. Walsh
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

RB Leipzig 1-0 PSV Eindhoven result, stats and report

RB Leipzig
RB Leipzig
Won · xG 2.12
1 – 0
FT 06:35
PSV Eindhoven
Lost · xG 1.44
PSV Eindhoven
Match review
Next: Schalke 04 v RB Leipzig · Sat 31 Oct · PSV Eindhoven v Willem II · Sat 31 Oct
Skip match sections

Who won RB Leipzig vs PSV Eindhoven?

RB Leipzig 1-0 PSV Eindhoven, full time in the UEFA Champions League. Played UK time. Our model's pre-match pick was PSV Eindhoven to win, which did not land.

How it played out

RB Leipzig won it 1–0

RB LeipzigPSV Eindhoven

No minute-by-minute record was captured for this match, so the shape of it is not drawn.

Verified final · revision 2 · 06:35Full stats
Match StoryFull breakdown

RB Leipzig 1–0 PSV Eindhoven

RB Leipzig beat PSV Eindhoven 1-0 in the UEFA Champions League thanks to Brajan Gruda's 75th-minute goal, with PSV handing Leipzig a massive early lifeline when Ivan Perisic missed a penalty in the 19th minute.

UEFA Champions LeagueTue 13 Oct, 20:00
Key Takeaways
Result

RB Leipzig beat PSV Eindhoven 1-0 at home.

Goals

A single goal kept the match under the 2.5 line.

First Goal
B
75'⚽
Brajan Gruda
Game Flow

Expected Goals (xG)

RB Leipzig 2.12 xGPSV Eindhoven 1.44 xG
Cumulative · approximated from goal events
0'45'90'

SportSignals model forecast

Recorded before kick-off · prediction, not a Tip

RB Leipzig to win

43%Matched

Result

RB Leipzig1:0PSV Eindhoven

RB Leipzig v PSV Eindhoven

Our model called RB Leipzig to win at 43%. RB Leipzig 1-0 PSV Eindhoven. Forecast matched the result.
📊 Match recap and data context

RB Leipzig beat PSV Eindhoven 1-0 at home in the Champions League. Our model backed a Leipzig win at 43 percent probability and the pick landed. Brajan Gruda scored in the 75th minute to settle the match. PSV had a chance to take the lead from the penalty spot in the 19th minute, but Ivan Perisic's effort missed. Leipzig's recent form had been poor, with just one win in five games, while PSV arrived in strong shape with four wins from their last five. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.

RB Leipzig v PSV Eindhoven · UEFA Champions League ·

More from this competition: UEFA Champions League predictions · UEFA Champions League odds

Player ratings

Who decided it

All 22
  1. Maarten VandevoordtRB Leipzig★ MOTM90 min8.7
  2. Brajan GrudaRB Leipzig1 goal · 76 min8.1
  3. Matej KovarPSV Eindhoven90 min8.0
  4. Kodai Sano90 min7.4
  5. David RaumRB Leipzig90 min7.2

Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

RB LeipzigPSV EindhovenUEFA Champions League

The provider forecast gives RB Leipzig win the highest 1X2 probability at 42.6%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

RB Leipzig
42.6%
Draw
22.0%
PSV Eindhoven
35.4%
Both teams to score · Yes
69.0%
Over 2.5 goals
71.4%

Full-time forecast audit: RB Leipzig win was the highest probability; the match result was RB Leipzig win.

Forecast result checked ·

Tips record

No Tip was published for this match

No selection qualified before kickoff, so there is no paid Tip to settle. The original model prediction and observed prices remain separate audit records.

Final pre-match decision · no Tip to settle

Current alternative Tips will be checked as this section comes into view
Match facts · what the record shows

10 facts from this result

The final verified live-context record and historical evidence saved before kick-off, kept as separate evidence sets.

Head-to-head evidence

Final live-fact record

  • For PSV Eindhoven, the final recorded goal situation matched 10 comparable matches from 53 checked matches: 0% win, 0% draw, 100% loss.Verified final
  • For RB Leipzig, the final recorded goal situation matched 13 comparable matches from 55 checked matches: 100% win, 0% draw, 0% loss.Verified final
  • For PSV Eindhoven, the final recorded sending-off situation matched 10 comparable matches from 53 checked matches: 0% win, 0% draw, 100% loss.Verified final
  • For RB Leipzig, the final recorded sending-off situation matched 13 comparable matches from 55 checked matches: 100% win, 0% draw, 0% loss.Verified final

Captured from live match context at . This is a retained situation record, not a post-match performance claim.

Pre-match historical evidence

  • 4league matches away from home unbeaten for PSV Eindhoven.Immutable lifecycle evidence
  • RB Leipzig scored first in 4 of their last 10 league matches (40%).Immutable lifecycle evidence
  • PSV Eindhoven scored first in 2 of their last 10 league matches (20%).Immutable lifecycle evidence
  • RB Leipzig have averaged 1.0 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable lifecycle evidence
  • PSV Eindhoven have averaged 1.9 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable lifecycle evidence
  • Dennis Man has the highest listed average xGOT for PSV Eindhoven at 1.31 across the provider's evidence window.Immutable lifecycle evidence

Immutable lifecycle evidence · Source: match facts feed. Evidence sets are labelled separately and never rebuilt from mutable post-match rows.

Questions about this result

  • What was the final score in RB Leipzig vs PSV Eindhoven?
    RB Leipzig beat PSV Eindhoven 1-0 in the UEFA Champions League at Leipzig Stadium.
  • Who scored the opening goal?
    Brajan Gruda opened the scoring in the 75th minute.
  • Who scored in the match?
    Brajan Gruda (75').
  • How many bookings were there?
    The referee showed 3 yellow cards.
  • Who refereed the match?
    N. Walsh officiated.
  • When and where was the match played?
    RB Leipzig vs PSV Eindhoven kicked off on Tuesday, 13 October 2026 UK time at Leipzig Stadium.
  • How many corners were there in the match?
    18 corners were taken across the 90 minutes.
  • Did the model call it right?
    No. The published pick was PSV Eindhoven to win, and it did not land.
  • When do they play next?
    RB Leipzig play Schalke 04 on Saturday, 31 October 2026 UK time. PSV Eindhoven play Willem II on Saturday, 31 October 2026 UK time.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.