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UEFA Champions League · MW2 Leipzig Stadium, LeipzigRef: N. Walsh
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

RB Leipzig 1-0 PSV Eindhoven result, stats and report

RB Leipzig
Won · xG 2.12
1 – 0
FT 06:35
Lost · xG 1.44
PSV Eindhoven
Next: Schalke 04 v RB Leipzig · Sat 31 Oct · PSV Eindhoven v Willem II · Sat 31 Oct
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

RB LeipzigPSV EindhovenUEFA Champions League

The provider forecast gives RB Leipzig win the highest 1X2 probability at 42.6%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

RB Leipzig
42.6%
Draw
22.0%
PSV Eindhoven
35.4%
Both teams to score · Yes
69.0%
Over 2.5 goals
71.4%

Full-time forecast audit: RB Leipzig win was the highest probability; the match result was RB Leipzig win.

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorelost
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultlost
Over 1.5 goalslost
Over 2.5 goalslost
Over 3.5 goalswon
Full-time resultwon
Double chancewon
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveswon

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

43%
22%
35%
42.6%RB Leipzig
22.0%Draw
35.4%PSV Eindhoven

Both Teams to Score

69%
Yes 69.0%No 31.0%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

71%
Yes 71.4%No 28.6%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
88%
Over 2.5
71%
Over 3.5
49%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
8.6%
2-1
8.3%
1-2
7.5%
2-2
7.4%
1-0
4.7%
3-1
4.6%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates RB Leipzig or draw at 50.7%; the most likely half-time state is PSV Eindhoven leading at half-time at 34.9%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 13.3%.

Double Chance

1X
50.7%
12
2.9%
X2
46.4%

Half-Time Result

RB Leipzig
33.0%
Draw
32.1%
PSV Eindhoven
34.9%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
RB Leipzig
Draw
PSV Eindhoven
RB Leipzig
25.4%
6.2%
3.0%
Draw
15.0%
9.1%
9.0%
PSV Eindhoven
3.0%
5.3%
23.9%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
13.3%
No
86.7%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.