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Bundesliga · MW3 Leipzig Stadium, LeipzigRef: Florian Badstübner
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

RB Leipzig 5-0 Hamburger SV result, stats and report

RB Leipzig
Won · xG 1.94
5 – 0
FT 07:05
Lost · xG 0.85
Hamburger SV
Next: Real Madrid v RB Leipzig · Wed 21 Oct · Paderborn v Hamburger SV · Sat 24 Oct
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

RB LeipzigHamburger SVBundesliga

The provider forecast gives RB Leipzig win the highest 1X2 probability at 63.8%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

RB Leipzig
63.8%
Draw
19.9%
Hamburger SV
16.4%
Both teams to score · Yes
57.0%
Over 2.5 goals
62.5%

Full-time forecast audit: RB Leipzig win was the highest probability; the match result was RB Leipzig win.

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorelost
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultlost
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalswon
Over 3.5 goalslost
Full-time resultwon
Double chancewon
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveslost

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

64%
20%
16%
63.8%RB Leipzig
19.9%Draw
16.4%Hamburger SV

Both Teams to Score

57%
Yes 57.0%No 43.0%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

63%
Yes 62.5%No 37.5%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
82%
Over 2.5
63%
Over 3.5
41%

Most Likely Correct Scores

2-1
10.0%
1-0
9.3%
2-0
8.8%
1-1
8.8%
3-1
6.9%
3-0
6.6%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates RB Leipzig or draw at 66.2%; the most likely half-time state is RB Leipzig leading at half-time at 50.0%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 18.4%.

Double Chance

1X
66.2%
12
4.5%
X2
29.2%

Half-Time Result

RB Leipzig
50.0%
Draw
32.6%
Hamburger SV
17.4%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
RB Leipzig
Draw
Hamburger SV
RB Leipzig
44.5%
3.8%
1.6%
Draw
17.3%
10.7%
5.0%
Hamburger SV
4.5%
4.3%
8.2%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
18.4%
No
81.6%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.