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La Liga · MW6 Estadio de Vallecas, MadridRef: Isidro Díaz de Mera Escuderos
Full time

This match had live commentary, stats and in-play prices; no momentum.

Rayo Vallecano 2-1 Espanyol result, stats and report

Rayo Vallecano
Won · xG 1.53
2 – 1
FT
Lost · xG 2.09
Espanyol
Next: Real Sociedad v Rayo Vallecano · Sun 8 Nov · Espanyol v Deportivo La Coruña · Sat 7 Nov
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

Rayo VallecanoEspanyolLa Liga

The provider forecast gives Rayo Vallecano win the highest 1X2 probability at 46.0%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

Rayo Vallecano
46.0%
Draw
27.5%
Espanyol
26.5%
Both teams to score · Yes
51.3%
Over 2.5 goals
47.4%

Full-time forecast audit: Rayo Vallecano win was the highest probability; the match result was Rayo Vallecano win.

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorewon
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultwon
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalslost
Over 3.5 goalswon
Full-time resultwon
Double chancewon
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveswon

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

46%
28%
27%
46.0%Rayo Vallecano
27.5%Draw
26.5%Espanyol

Both Teams to Score

51%
Yes 51.3%No 48.7%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

47%
Yes 47.4%No 52.6%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
72%
Over 2.5
47%
Over 3.5
26%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
12.6%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.6%
0-0
8.5%
0-1
8.1%
2-0
8.0%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates Rayo Vallecano or draw at 54.2%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 46.7%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 6.4%.

Double Chance

1X
54.2%
12
8.5%
X2
37.3%

Half-Time Result

Rayo Vallecano
33.2%
Draw
46.7%
Espanyol
20.1%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
Rayo Vallecano
Draw
Espanyol
Rayo Vallecano
27.0%
5.2%
2.0%
Draw
18.2%
17.7%
9.7%
Espanyol
3.5%
4.9%
11.9%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
6.4%
No
93.6%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.