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EFL Championship · MW10 MATRADE Loftus Road, LondonRef: Matthew Corlett
Full time

This match had live commentary, stats and in-play prices; no momentum.

QPR 4-1 Derby result, stats and report

QPR
Won · xG 1.64
4 – 1
FT 06:05
Lost · xG 1.09
Derby
Next: QPR v Burnley · Tue 3 Nov · Derby v Norwich · Tue 3 Nov
Skip match sections

Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

QPRDerbyEFL Championship

The provider forecast gives QPR win the highest 1X2 probability at 44.9%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

QPR
44.9%
Draw
25.1%
Derby
30.0%
Both teams to score · Yes
58.6%
Over 2.5 goals
55.2%

Full-time forecast audit: QPR win was the highest probability; the match result was QPR win.

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorewon
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultwon
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalswon
Over 3.5 goalslost
Full-time resultwon
Double chancewon
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveslost

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

45%
25%
30%
44.9%QPR
25.1%Draw
30.0%Derby

Both Teams to Score

59%
Yes 58.6%No 41.4%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

55%
Yes 55.2%No 44.8%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
78%
Over 2.5
55%
Over 3.5
33%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
11.9%
2-1
9.5%
1-0
9.0%
1-2
7.5%
2-0
7.0%
0-1
7.0%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates QPR or draw at 51.6%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 41.1%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 7.7%.

Double Chance

1X
51.6%
12
5.5%
X2
42.9%

Half-Time Result

QPR
34.0%
Draw
41.1%
Derby
24.9%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
QPR
Draw
Derby
QPR
26.6%
5.5%
2.5%
Draw
15.0%
16.0%
10.4%
Derby
3.4%
5.8%
14.6%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
7.7%
No
92.3%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.