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EFL Championship · MW9 Deepdale, PrestonRef: Ben Speedie
Full time

This match had live commentary, stats and in-play prices; no momentum.

Preston 0-1 Millwall result, stats and report

Preston
Lost · xG 0.71
0 – 1
FT 04:35
Won · xG 1.26
Millwall
The Match Review, as soon as it publishes.
Next: Preston v Sheffield Utd · Tue 3 Nov · Birmingham v Millwall · Tue 3 Nov
Skip match sections

Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

PrestonMillwallEFL Championship

The provider forecast gives Millwall win the highest 1X2 probability at 44.7%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

Preston
29.1%
Draw
26.2%
Millwall
44.7%
Both teams to score · Yes
54.5%
Over 2.5 goals
50.5%

Full-time forecast audit: Millwall win was the highest probability; the match result was Millwall win.

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorelost
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultwon
Over 1.5 goalslost
Over 2.5 goalslost
Over 3.5 goalswon
Full-time resultwon
Double chancewon
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveswon

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

29%
26%
45%
29.1%Preston
26.2%Draw
44.7%Millwall

Both Teams to Score

54%
Yes 54.5%No 45.5%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

51%
Yes 50.5%No 49.5%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
75%
Over 2.5
51%
Over 3.5
28%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
12.3%
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.3%
1-0
7.9%
0-2
7.4%
2-1
7.0%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates Millwall or draw at 49.3%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 42.6%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 3.0%.

Double Chance

1X
43.8%
12
7.0%
X2
49.3%

Half-Time Result

Preston
26.1%
Draw
42.6%
Millwall
31.3%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
Preston
Draw
Millwall
Preston
16.3%
5.9%
3.1%
Draw
10.3%
16.0%
16.4%
Millwall
2.0%
6.1%
23.8%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
3.0%
No
97.0%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.