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EFL Championship · MW7 Deepdale, PrestonRef: Stephen Martin
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Preston 0-1 Lincoln City result, stats and report

Preston
Lost · xG 0.69
0 – 1
FT 07:45
Won · xG 0.87
Lincoln City
Next: Wrexham v Preston · Sat 17 Oct · Millwall v Lincoln City · Sat 17 Oct
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

PrestonLincoln CityEFL Championship

The provider forecast gives Lincoln City win the highest 1X2 probability at 45.2%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

Preston
29.0%
Draw
25.8%
LNC
45.2%
Both teams to score · Yes
54.8%
Over 2.5 goals
52.2%

Full-time forecast audit: Lincoln City win was the highest probability; the match result was Lincoln City win.

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorelost
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultwon
Over 1.5 goalslost
Over 2.5 goalslost
Over 3.5 goalswon
Full-time resultwon
Double chancewon
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveswon

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

29%
26%
45%
29.0%Preston
25.8%Draw
45.2%LNC

Both Teams to Score

55%
Yes 54.8%No 45.2%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

52%
Yes 52.2%No 47.8%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
76%
Over 2.5
52%
Over 3.5
30%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
11.8%
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.2%
1-0
7.9%
0-2
7.3%
2-1
7.0%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates LNC or draw at 49.2%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 41.5%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 3.3%.

Double Chance

1X
44.0%
12
6.8%
X2
49.2%

Half-Time Result

Preston
27.0%
Draw
41.5%
LNC
31.5%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
Preston
Draw
LNC
Preston
17.7%
5.8%
2.9%
Draw
10.4%
16.0%
14.6%
LNC
2.1%
5.0%
25.4%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
3.3%
No
96.7%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.