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EFL Championship · MW4 Deepdale, PrestonRef: Ruebyn Ricardo
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Preston 1-3 Bristol City result, stats and report

Preston
Lost · xG 1.84
1 – 3
FT
Won · xG 1.14
Bristol City
Next: Birmingham v Preston · Tue 13 Oct · Bristol City v Blackburn · Tue 13 Oct
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

PrestonBristol CityEFL Championship

The provider forecast gives Bristol City win the highest 1X2 probability at 42.5%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

Preston
28.8%
Draw
28.6%
Bristol City
42.5%
Both teams to score · Yes
46.9%
Over 2.5 goals
40.9%

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorelost
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultwon
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalslost
Over 3.5 goalslost
Full-time resultwon
Double chancewon
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveswon

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

29%
29%
43%
28.8%Preston
28.6%Draw
42.5%Bristol City

Both Teams to Score

47%
Yes 46.9%No 53.1%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

41%
Yes 40.9%No 59.1%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
67%
Over 2.5
41%
Over 3.5
21%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
12.9%
0-1
12.8%
0-0
10.4%
1-0
9.8%
1-2
8.2%
0-2
8.1%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates Bristol City or draw at 47.2%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 45.5%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 2.1%.

Double Chance

1X
42.4%
12
10.4%
X2
47.2%

Half-Time Result

Preston
24.3%
Draw
45.5%
Bristol City
30.1%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
Preston
Draw
Bristol City
Preston
15.8%
5.1%
2.9%
Draw
11.0%
18.1%
16.5%
Bristol City
1.9%
5.4%
23.2%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
2.1%
No
97.8%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.