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EFL Championship · MW10 Ashton Gate Stadium, BristolRef: David Webb
Full time

This match had live commentary, stats and in-play prices; no momentum.

Bristol City 0-1 Blackburn result, stats and report

Bristol City
Lost · xG 1.42
0 – 1
FT 06:15
Won · xG 0.17
Blackburn
Next: Bristol City v Wolves · Wed 4 Nov · Blackburn v Stoke City · Tue 3 Nov
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Who won Bristol City vs Blackburn?

Bristol City 0-1 Blackburn, full time in the EFL Championship. Played UK time. Our model's pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals, which landed.

How it played out

Blackburn won it 1–0

No minute-by-minute record was captured for this match, so the shape of it is not drawn.

Verified final · revision 2 · 06:15Full stats
Match StoryFull breakdown

Bristol City 0–1 Blackburn

Oladapo Afolayan's 38th-minute strike proved enough as Blackburn outclassed Bristol City in every attacking department, leaving the hosts with serious questions about their ability to create and compete at this level.

Key Takeaways
Result

Blackburn won 1-0 away at Bristol City.

Goals

A single goal kept the match under the 2.5 line.

Chance quality

Blackburn won against the run of the chances: Bristol City 1.42 to Blackburn 0.17 on expected goals, which favoured Bristol City.

First Goal
O
38'⚽
Oladapo Afolayan
SAssist: Sean McLoughlin
Game Flow

Expected Goals (xG)

Bristol City 1.42 xGBlackburn 0.17 xG
Cumulative · approximated from goal events
0'45'90'

SportSignals model forecast

Recorded before kick-off · prediction, not a Tip

Bristol City to win

40%Missed

Result

Bristol City0:1Blackburn

Bristol City v Blackburn

Our model leaned Bristol City to win at 40%. Bristol City 0-1 Blackburn. Forecast did not match the result.
📊 Match recap and data context

Bristol City fell to Blackburn 1-0 at Ashton Gate, with Oladapo Afolayan scoring in the 38th minute. Our model backed a Bristol City win at 40 percent probability; the pick missed. The hosts created chances but could not find the net against a Blackburn side that has drawn three of its last five matches. Bristol City's recent form showed one win and one loss across five games. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.

Bristol City v Blackburn · EFL Championship ·

More from this competition: EFL Championship predictions · EFL Championship odds

Player ratings

Who decided it

All 22
  1. Balázs TóthBlackburn★ MOTM90 min8.2
  2. Sean McLoughlinBlackburn1 assist · 90 min8.1
  3. Oladapo AfolayanBlackburn1 goal · 63 min7.2
  4. Harry PickeringBlackburn90 min7.0
  5. Tom AtchesonBlackburn90 min7.0

Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

The provider forecast gives Bristol City win the highest 1X2 probability at 40.4%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

Bristol City
40.4%
Draw
27.2%
Blackburn
32.4%
Both teams to score · Yes
51.1%
Over 2.5 goals
46.3%

Full-time forecast audit: Bristol City win was the highest probability; the match result was Blackburn win.

Forecast result checked ·

Tips record

No Tip was published for this match

No selection qualified before kickoff, so there is no paid Tip to settle. The original model prediction and observed prices remain separate audit records.

Final pre-match decision · no Tip to settle

Current alternative Tips will be checked as this section comes into view
Match facts · what the record shows

10 facts from this result

The final verified live-context record and historical evidence saved before kick-off, kept as separate evidence sets.

Head-to-head evidence

Final live-fact record

  • For Blackburn, the final recorded goal situation matched 2 comparable matches from 23 checked matches: 100% win, 0% draw, 0% loss.Verified final
  • For Blackburn, the final recorded goal situation matched 20 comparable matches from 100 checked matches: 100% win, 0% draw, 0% loss.Verified final
  • For Bristol City, the final recorded goal situation matched 2 comparable matches from 23 checked matches: 0% win, 0% draw, 100% loss.Verified final
  • For Bristol City, the final recorded goal situation matched 16 comparable matches from 100 checked matches: 0% win, 0% draw, 100% loss.Verified final

Captured from live match context at . This is a retained situation record, not a post-match performance claim.

Pre-match historical evidence

  • 0-1is the most common scoreline between Bristol City and Blackburn, landing 3 times across 20 league meetings on record.Immutable lifecycle evidence
  • 10/20recorded league meetings saw both teams score (50%).Immutable lifecycle evidence
  • 4league matches away from home unbeaten for Blackburn.Immutable lifecycle evidence
  • Bristol City scored first in 5 of their last 10 league matches (50%).Immutable lifecycle evidence
  • Blackburn scored first in 4 of their last 10 league matches (40%).Immutable lifecycle evidence
  • Bristol City have averaged 1.4 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable lifecycle evidence

Immutable lifecycle evidence · Source: match facts feed. Evidence sets are labelled separately and never rebuilt from mutable post-match rows.

Questions about this result

  • What was the final score in Bristol City vs Blackburn?
    Blackburn beat Bristol City 1-0 in the EFL Championship at Ashton Gate Stadium.
  • Who scored the opening goal?
    Oladapo Afolayan opened the scoring in the 38th minute.
  • Who scored in the match?
    Oladapo Afolayan (38').
  • Who refereed the match?
    David Webb officiated.
  • When and where was the match played?
    Bristol City vs Blackburn kicked off on Tuesday, 13 October 2026 UK time at Ashton Gate Stadium.
  • How many corners were there in the match?
    15 corners were taken across the 90 minutes.
  • Did the model call it right?
    Yes. The published pick was Under 2.5 goals, and it landed.
  • When do they play next?
    Bristol City play Wolves on Wednesday, 4 November 2026 UK time. Blackburn play Stoke City on Tuesday, 3 November 2026 UK time.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.