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Major League SoccerRef: Fotis Bazakos
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This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Portland Timbers 2-2 St. Louis City result, stats and report

Portland Timbers
Drew · xG 1.21
2 – 2
FT 23:35
Drew · xG 1.66
St. Louis City
The Match Review, as soon as it publishes.
Next: LA Galaxy v Portland Timbers · Thu 15 Oct · St. Louis City v Vancouver Whitecaps · Thu 15 Oct
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Who won Portland Timbers vs St. Louis City?

Portland Timbers 2-2 St. Louis City, full time in Major League Soccer. Played UK time. Our model's pre-match pick was Portland Timbers to win, which did not land.

Editorial publication status

No Match Review published

The final score and match data are available elsewhere in this Match Centre.

How it played out

Level at 2–2 when it finished

No minute-by-minute record was captured for this match, so the shape of it is not drawn.

Verified final · revision 4 · 23:35Full stats
Match StoryFull breakdown

Portland Timbers 2–2 St. Louis City

Portland have rediscovered something at Providence Park, winning three of their last five at home and scoring freely. St. Louis City arrive in form but carry a troubling secret: they cannot win away from home. Something will give on 10 September.

Key Takeaways
Result

Portland Timbers and St. Louis City drew 2-2.

Goals

4 goals took the match over the 2.5 line.

First Goal
R
1'⚽
Rafael Navarro2 goals in match
Game Flow

Expected Goals (xG)

Portland Timbers 1.21 xGSt. Louis City 1.66 xG
Cumulative · approximated from goal events
0'45'90'

SportSignals model forecast

Recorded before kick-off · prediction, not a Tip

Portland Timbers to win

49%Missed

Result

Portland Timbers2:2St. Louis City

POT v LOU

Our model leaned Portland Timbers to win at 49%. Portland Timbers 2-2 St. Louis City. Forecast did not match the result.
📊 Match recap and data context

Portland Timbers drew 2-2 with St. Louis City in MLS play. Our model favored Portland at 49 percent probability, a pick that did not land. Both teams found the net, extending a pattern; Portland had scored in four of five recent matches while St. Louis City had converted in all five. The draw leaves both sides with points but neither with the win. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.

Portland Timbers v St. Louis City · Major League Soccer ·

More from this competition: Major League Soccer predictions · Major League Soccer odds

Player ratings

Who decided it

All 22
  1. Ronald Hernández★ MOTM25 min6.9
  2. Vincent Janssen90 min6.9
  3. Finn Surman90 min6.8
  4. Dante Polvara65 min6.8
  5. Damion Downs1 min6.3

Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

The provider forecast gives Portland Timbers win the highest 1X2 probability at 49.0%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

POT
49.0%
Draw
25.4%
LOU
25.6%
Both teams to score · Yes
57.1%
Over 2.5 goals
55.3%

Full-time forecast audit: Portland Timbers win was the highest probability; the match result was draw.

Forecast result checked ·

Tips record

No Tip was published for this match

No selection qualified before kickoff, so there is no paid Tip to settle. The original model prediction and observed prices remain separate audit records.

Final pre-match decision · no Tip to settle

Current alternative Tips will be checked as this section comes into view
Match facts · what the record shows

Pre-match facts retained

The historical evidence saved at kick-off, kept separate from what happened in the match.

Head-to-head evidence

Pre-match historical evidence

  • 1-2is the most common scoreline between Portland Timbers and St. Louis City, landing 2 times across 6 league meetings on record.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • 5/6recorded league meetings saw both teams score (83.3%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • 34league matches at home unbeaten for Portland Timbers.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • 8league matches away from home unbeaten for St. Louis City.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Portland Timbers scored first in 4 of their last 10 league matches (40%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • St. Louis City scored first in 8 of their last 10 league matches (80%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Portland Timbers have averaged 2.3 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • St. Louis City have averaged 2.3 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Vincent Janssen has the highest listed average xGOT for Portland Timbers at 2.70 across the provider's evidence window.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Roman Bürki has the highest listed average xGOT for St. Louis City at 0.99 across the provider's evidence window.Immutable kick-off snapshot

Immutable kick-off snapshot · Source: match facts feed. Evidence sets are labelled separately and never rebuilt from mutable post-match rows.

Questions about this result

  • What was the final score in Portland Timbers vs St. Louis City?
    POT and LOU drew 2-2 in the Major League Soccer.
  • Who scored the opening goal?
    Rafael Navarro opened the scoring in the 1st minute.
  • Who scored in the match?
    Rafael Navarro (1'), Kristoffer Velde (32'), Rafael Navarro (51'), Kristoffer Velde (89').
  • How many bookings were there?
    The referee showed 5 yellow cards.
  • Who refereed the match?
    Fotis Bazakos officiated.
  • When and where was the match played?
    POT vs LOU kicked off on Thursday, 10 September 2026 UK time.
  • How many corners were there in the match?
    11 corners were taken across the 90 minutes.
  • Did the model call it right?
    No. The published pick was Portland Timbers to win, and it did not land.
  • When do they play next?
    POT play LA Galaxy on Thursday, 15 October 2026 UK time. LOU play St. Louis City on Thursday, 15 October 2026 UK time.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.