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Major League SoccerRef: Ismail Elfath
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This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Portland Timbers 0-1 Atlanta United result, stats and report

Portland Timbers
Lost · xG 1.83
0 – 1
FT 19:25
Won · xG 0.95
Atlanta United
Next: St. Louis City v Portland Timbers · Thu 29 Oct · New York City v Atlanta United · Wed 28 Oct
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Who won Portland Timbers vs Atlanta United?

Portland Timbers 0-1 Atlanta United, full time in Major League Soccer. Played UK time. Our model's pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals, which landed.

How it played out

ATL won it 1–0

No minute-by-minute record was captured for this match, so the shape of it is not drawn.

Verified final · revision 3 · 19:25Full stats
Match StoryFull breakdown

Portland Timbers 0–1 Atlanta United

Aleksey Miranchuk's 28th-minute finish, assisted by Miguel Almirón, was enough for Atlanta United to take all three points from a Portland Timbers side that created chance after chance and converted precisely none of them.

Key Takeaways
Result

Atlanta United won 1-0 away at Portland Timbers.

Goals

A single goal kept the match under the 2.5 line.

Chance quality

Atlanta United won against the run of the chances: Portland Timbers 1.83 to Atlanta United 0.95 on expected goals, which favoured Portland Timbers.

First Goal
A
28'⚽
Aleksey Miranchuk
MAssist: Miguel Almirón
Game Flow

Expected Goals (xG)

Portland Timbers 1.83 xGAtlanta United 0.95 xG
Cumulative · approximated from goal events
0'45'90'

SportSignals model forecast

Recorded before kick-off · prediction, not a Tip

Portland Timbers to win

51%Missed

Result

Portland Timbers0:1Atlanta United

POT v ATL

Our model leaned Portland Timbers to win at 51%. Portland Timbers 0-1 Atlanta United. Forecast did not match the result.
📊 Match recap and data context

Portland Timbers fell to Atlanta United 1-0 in MLS action. Our model favored Portland at 51% probability, but the pick missed. Aleksey Miranchuk broke the deadlock in the 28th minute, and Atlanta held firm through the remainder. Portland's recent form showed one win, one draw and three losses across five matches. Both sides had registered both-teams-to-score in 80% of their last five outings, though Portland's attack failed to register here. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.

Portland Timbers v Atlanta United · Major League Soccer ·

More from this competition: Major League Soccer predictions · Major League Soccer odds

Player ratings

Who decided it

All 22
  1. Aleksey MiranchukATL★ MOTM1 goal · 90 min7.8
  2. Joel Waterman90 min7.4
  3. Lucas HoyosATL90 min7.3
  4. Elías BáezATL90 min7.3
  5. Miguel AlmirónATL1 assist · 90 min7.2

Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

The provider forecast gives Portland Timbers win the highest 1X2 probability at 50.7%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

POT
50.7%
Draw
26.2%
ATL
23.2%
Both teams to score · Yes
54.3%
Over 2.5 goals
53.0%

Full-time forecast audit: Portland Timbers win was the highest probability; the match result was Atlanta United win.

Forecast result checked ·

Tips record

No Tip was published for this match

No selection qualified before kickoff, so there is no paid Tip to settle. The original model prediction and observed prices remain separate audit records.

Final pre-match decision · no Tip to settle

Current alternative Tips will be checked as this section comes into view
Match facts · what the record shows

Pre-match facts retained

The historical evidence saved at kick-off, kept separate from what happened in the match.

Head-to-head evidence

Pre-match historical evidence

  • 1-1is the most common scoreline between Portland Timbers and Atlanta United, landing 2 times across 6 league meetings on record.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • 4/6recorded league meetings saw both teams score (66.7%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • 36league matches at home unbeaten for Portland Timbers.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • 3league matches away from home unbeaten for Atlanta United.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Portland Timbers scored first in 3 of their last 10 league matches (30%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Atlanta United scored first in 4 of their last 10 league matches (40%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Portland Timbers have averaged 2.0 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Atlanta United have averaged 1.5 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Vincent Janssen has the highest listed average xGOT for Portland Timbers at 1.35 across the provider's evidence window.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Fafà Picault has the highest listed average xGOT for Atlanta United at 0.56 across the provider's evidence window.Immutable kick-off snapshot

Immutable kick-off snapshot · Source: match facts feed. Evidence sets are labelled separately and never rebuilt from mutable post-match rows.

Questions about this result

  • What was the final score in Portland Timbers vs Atlanta United?
    ATL beat POT 1-0 in the Major League Soccer.
  • Who scored the opening goal?
    Aleksey Miranchuk opened the scoring in the 28th minute.
  • Who scored in the match?
    Aleksey Miranchuk (28').
  • How many bookings were there?
    The referee showed 4 yellow cards.
  • Who refereed the match?
    Ismail Elfath officiated.
  • When and where was the match played?
    POT vs ATL kicked off on Sunday, 20 September 2026 UK time.
  • How many corners were there in the match?
    8 corners were taken across the 90 minutes.
  • Did the model call it right?
    Yes. The published pick was Under 2.5 goals, and it landed.
  • When do they play next?
    POT play St. Louis City on Thursday, 29 October 2026 UK time. ATL play New York City on Wednesday, 28 October 2026 UK time.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.