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By SportSignals Match Desk · Football analysis desk ·
Aleksey Miranchuk's 28th-minute finish, assisted by Miguel Almirón, was enough for Atlanta United to take all three points from a Portland Timbers side that created chance after chance and converted precisely none of them.
Aleksey Miranchuk's 28th-minute finish, assisted by Miguel Almirón, was enough for Atlanta United to take all three points from a Portland Timbers side that created chance after chance and converted precisely none of them.
Major League SoccerSun 20 Sept, 03:30
Key Takeaways
Result
Atlanta United won 1-0 away at Portland Timbers.
Goals
A single goal kept the match under the 2.5 line.
Chance quality
Atlanta United won against the run of the chances: Portland Timbers 1.83 to Atlanta United 0.95 on expected goals, which favoured Portland Timbers.
First Goal
A
28'⚽
Aleksey Miranchuk
MAssist: Miguel Almirón
Game Flow
Expected Goals (xG)
Portland Timbers 1.83 xGAtlanta United 0.95 xG
Cumulative · approximated from goal events
SportSignals model forecast
Recorded before kick-off · prediction, not a Tip
Portland Timbers to win
51%Missed
Result
0:1
POT v ATL
Our model leaned Portland Timbers to win at 51%. Portland Timbers 0-1 Atlanta United. Forecast did not match the result.
📊 Match recap and data context
Portland Timbers fell to Atlanta United 1-0 in MLS action. Our model favored Portland at 51% probability, but the pick missed. Aleksey Miranchuk broke the deadlock in the 28th minute, and Atlanta held firm through the remainder. Portland's recent form showed one win, one draw and three losses across five matches. Both sides had registered both-teams-to-score in 80% of their last five outings, though Portland's attack failed to register here. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.
Portland Timbers v Atlanta United · Major League Soccer ·
The provider forecast gives Portland Timbers win the highest 1X2 probability at 50.7%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.
POT
50.7%
Draw
26.2%
ATL
23.2%
Both teams to score · Yes
54.3%
Over 2.5 goals
53.0%
Full-time forecast audit: Portland Timbers win was the highest probability; the match result was Atlanta United win.
Forecast result checked ·
Tips record
No Tip was published for this match
No selection qualified before kickoff, so there is no paid Tip to settle. The original model prediction and observed prices remain separate audit records.
Final pre-match decision · no Tip to settle
Current alternative Tips will be checked as this section comes into view
Match facts · what the record shows
Pre-match facts retained
The historical evidence saved at kick-off, kept separate from what happened in the match.
1-1is the most common scoreline between Portland Timbers and Atlanta United, landing 2 times across 6 league meetings on record.Immutable kick-off snapshot
4/6recorded league meetings saw both teams score (66.7%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
36league matches at home unbeaten for Portland Timbers.Immutable kick-off snapshot
3league matches away from home unbeaten for Atlanta United.Immutable kick-off snapshot
Portland Timbers scored first in 3 of their last 10 league matches (30%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
Atlanta United scored first in 4 of their last 10 league matches (40%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
Portland Timbers have averaged 2.0 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable kick-off snapshot
Atlanta United have averaged 1.5 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable kick-off snapshot
Vincent Janssen has the highest listed average xGOT for Portland Timbers at 1.35 across the provider's evidence window.Immutable kick-off snapshot
Fafà Picault has the highest listed average xGOT for Atlanta United at 0.56 across the provider's evidence window.Immutable kick-off snapshot
Immutable kick-off snapshot · Source: match facts feed. Evidence sets are labelled separately and never rebuilt from mutable post-match rows.
Questions about this result
▸What was the final score in Portland Timbers vs Atlanta United?