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Major League SoccerRef: Elijio Arreguin
Full time

This match had live commentary, stats and in-play prices; no momentum.

Philadelphia Union 2-1 Real Salt Lake result, stats and report

Philadelphia Union
Won · xG 1.73
2 – 1
FT 09:45
Lost · xG 0.95
Real Salt Lake
The Match Review, as soon as it publishes.
Next: Philadelphia Union v Toronto · Sat 7 Nov · Real Salt Lake v LA Galaxy · Sun 8 Nov
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

Philadelphia UnionReal Salt LakeMajor League Soccer

The provider forecast gives Philadelphia Union win the highest 1X2 probability at 63.8%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

PHI
63.8%
Draw
21.3%
RSL
14.9%
Both teams to score · Yes
48.2%
Over 2.5 goals
54.5%

Full-time forecast audit: Philadelphia Union win was the highest probability; the match result was Philadelphia Union win.

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorelost
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultlost
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalswon
Over 3.5 goalswon
Full-time resultwon
Double chancewon
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveswon

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

64%
21%
15%
63.8%PHI
21.3%Draw
14.9%RSL

Both Teams to Score

48%
Yes 48.2%No 51.8%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

55%
Yes 54.5%No 45.5%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
76%
Over 2.5
55%
Over 3.5
34%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-0
12.6%
2-0
11.0%
2-1
9.2%
1-1
8.9%
3-0
7.3%
0-0
6.7%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates PHI or draw at 63.2%; the most likely half-time state is PHI leading at half-time at 47.2%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 14.7%.

Double Chance

1X
63.2%
12
6.7%
X2
30.1%

Half-Time Result

PHI
47.2%
Draw
36.6%
RSL
16.1%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
PHI
Draw
RSL
PHI
41.5%
4.4%
1.7%
Draw
18.2%
10.9%
6.0%
RSL
4.2%
4.3%
8.9%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
14.7%
No
85.3%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.