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Major League SoccerRef: Sergii Demianchuk
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This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Philadelphia Union 4-2 Orlando City result, stats and report

Philadelphia Union
Won · xG 2.89
4 – 2
FT 13:25
Lost · xG 1.34
Orlando City
The Match Review, as soon as it publishes.
Next: Nashville SC v Philadelphia Union · Thu 29 Oct · Chicago Fire v Orlando City · Thu 29 Oct
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

Philadelphia UnionOrlando CityMajor League Soccer

The provider forecast gives Philadelphia Union win the highest 1X2 probability at 62.4%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

PHI
62.4%
Draw
20.4%
ORL
17.3%
Both teams to score · Yes
57.6%
Over 2.5 goals
63.3%

Full-time forecast audit: Philadelphia Union win was the highest probability; the match result was Philadelphia Union win.

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorewon
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultlost
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalswon
Over 3.5 goalslost
Full-time resultwon
Double chancewon
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveslost

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

62%
20%
17%
62.4%PHI
20.4%Draw
17.3%ORL

Both Teams to Score

58%
Yes 57.6%No 42.4%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

63%
Yes 63.3%No 36.7%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
83%
Over 2.5
63%
Over 3.5
43%

Most Likely Correct Scores

2-1
9.3%
1-1
8.8%
1-0
8.3%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
6.1%
3-0
5.8%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates PHI or draw at 68.7%; the most likely half-time state is PHI leading at half-time at 51.7%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 21.8%.

Double Chance

1X
68.7%
12
4.6%
X2
26.8%

Half-Time Result

PHI
51.7%
Draw
32.8%
ORL
15.6%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
PHI
Draw
ORL
PHI
44.8%
4.8%
1.9%
Draw
17.3%
9.3%
4.9%
ORL
4.2%
4.6%
8.2%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
21.8%
No
78.2%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.