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Major League SoccerRef: Joe Dickerson
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This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Philadelphia Union 5-0 Cincinnati result, stats and report

Philadelphia Union
Won · xG 3.63
5 – 0
FT 22:35
Lost · xG 0.03
Cincinnati
Next: Chicago Fire v Philadelphia Union · Thu 15 Oct · Cincinnati v New England · Thu 15 Oct
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

Philadelphia UnionCincinnatiMajor League Soccer

The provider forecast gives Philadelphia Union win the highest 1X2 probability at 57.0%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

PHI
57.0%
Draw
22.3%
CIN
20.7%
Both teams to score · Yes
56.2%
Over 2.5 goals
57.5%

Full-time forecast audit: Philadelphia Union win was the highest probability; the match result was Philadelphia Union win.

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorelost
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultlost
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalswon
Over 3.5 goalslost
Full-time resultwon
Double chancewon
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveslost

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

57%
22%
21%
57.0%PHI
22.3%Draw
20.7%CIN

Both Teams to Score

56%
Yes 56.2%No 43.8%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

58%
Yes 57.5%No 42.5%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
79%
Over 2.5
58%
Over 3.5
35%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
10.2%
2-1
10.1%
1-0
9.9%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
6.1%
3-0
5.6%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates PHI or draw at 63.8%; the most likely half-time state is PHI leading at half-time at 45.7%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 13.4%.

Double Chance

1X
63.8%
12
5.4%
X2
30.9%

Half-Time Result

PHI
45.7%
Draw
34.8%
CIN
19.5%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
PHI
Draw
CIN
PHI
40.0%
4.2%
2.2%
Draw
17.5%
11.2%
5.9%
CIN
4.5%
4.9%
9.7%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
13.4%
No
86.5%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.