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Eredivisie · MW9 MAC³PARK Stadion, ZwolleRef: Danny Desmond Makkelie
Full time

This match had live commentary, stats and in-play prices; no momentum.

PEC Zwolle 4-1 GO Ahead Eagles result, stats and report

PEC Zwolle
Won · xG 2.26
4 – 1
FT 21:05
Lost · xG 3.19
GO Ahead Eagles
The Match Review, as soon as it publishes.
Next: Willem II v PEC Zwolle · Fri 6 Nov · Excelsior v GO Ahead Eagles · Sat 7 Nov
Skip match sections

Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

PEC ZwolleGO Ahead EaglesEredivisie

The provider forecast gives GO Ahead Eagles win the highest 1X2 probability at 40.5%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

PEC Zwolle
33.2%
Draw
26.3%
GO Ahead Eagles
40.5%
Both teams to score · Yes
53.0%
Over 2.5 goals
49.1%

Full-time forecast audit: GO Ahead Eagles win was the highest probability; the match result was PEC Zwolle win.

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorewon
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultwon
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalslost
Over 3.5 goalslost
Full-time resultlost
Double chancelost
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveslost

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

33%
26%
40%
33.2%PEC Zwolle
26.3%Draw
40.5%GO Ahead Eagles

Both Teams to Score

53%
Yes 53.0%No 47.0%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

49%
Yes 49.1%No 50.9%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
73%
Over 2.5
49%
Over 3.5
28%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
11.9%
0-1
10.2%
1-0
9.1%
1-2
8.6%
0-0
7.7%
2-1
7.3%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates GO Ahead Eagles or draw at 49.1%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 42.0%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 3.9%.

Double Chance

1X
43.2%
12
7.7%
X2
49.1%

Half-Time Result

PEC Zwolle
28.1%
Draw
42.0%
GO Ahead Eagles
29.9%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
PEC Zwolle
Draw
GO Ahead Eagles
PEC Zwolle
18.7%
4.5%
3.6%
Draw
11.5%
13.4%
16.5%
GO Ahead Eagles
2.1%
4.9%
24.6%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
3.9%
No
96.1%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.