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Serie B · MW3Ref: Matteo Marchetti
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Palermo 3-1 Sampdoria result, stats and report

3 – 1
FT 17:25
Next: Mantova v Palermo · Sat 17 Oct · Sampdoria v Arezzo · Sun 18 Oct
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

PalermoSampdoriaSerie B

The provider forecast gives Palermo win the highest 1X2 probability at 53.3%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

PAL
53.3%
Draw
27.5%
SAM
19.2%
Both teams to score · Yes
44.1%
Over 2.5 goals
43.7%

Full-time forecast audit: Palermo win was the highest probability; the match result was Palermo win.

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorelost
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultwon
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalslost
Over 3.5 goalswon
Full-time resultwon
Double chancewon
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveswon

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

53%
28%
19%
53.3%PAL
27.5%Draw
19.2%SAM

Both Teams to Score

44%
Yes 44.1%No 55.9%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

44%
Yes 43.7%No 56.3%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
69%
Over 2.5
44%
Over 3.5
24%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-0
14.0%
1-1
11.9%
2-0
10.7%
0-0
10.2%
2-1
8.7%
0-1
6.8%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates PAL or draw at 55.6%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 44.7%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 8.3%.

Double Chance

1X
55.6%
12
10.2%
X2
34.2%

Half-Time Result

PAL
37.2%
Draw
44.7%
SAM
18.1%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
PAL
Draw
SAM
PAL
32.9%
4.9%
1.2%
Draw
19.1%
17.1%
7.4%
SAM
2.7%
5.3%
9.5%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
8.3%
No
91.7%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.