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Serie B · MW3Ref: Matteo Marchetti
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Palermo 3-1 Sampdoria result, stats and report

3 – 1
FT 17:25
Next: Mantova v Palermo · Sat 17 Oct · Sampdoria v Arezzo · Sun 18 Oct
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Who won Palermo vs Sampdoria?

Palermo 3-1 Sampdoria, full time in Serie B. Played UK time. Our model's pre-match pick was Both teams to score — No, which did not land.

How it played out

PAL won it 3–1

No minute-by-minute record was captured for this match, so the shape of it is not drawn.

Verified final · revision 7 · 17:25Full stats
Match StoryFull breakdown

Palermo 3–1 Sampdoria

Palermo won 2-1 against Sampdoria despite being outpossessed and outshot, with early goals from Gabriel Strefezza and Joel Pohjanpalo proving enough to hold off a Sampdoria side that created plenty but converted little.

Key Takeaways
Result

Palermo beat Sampdoria 3-1 at home.

Goals

4 goals took the match over the 2.5 line.

First Goal
G
9'⚽
Gabriel Strefezza
TAssist: Tommaso Augello

SportSignals model forecast

Recorded before kick-off · prediction, not a Tip

Palermo to win

53%Matched

Result

Palermo3:1Sampdoria

PAL v SAM

Our model called Palermo to win at 53%. Palermo 3-1 Sampdoria. Forecast matched the result.
📊 Match recap and data context

Palermo beat Sampdoria 3-1 at home in Serie B. Our model backed a Palermo win at 53% probability, and the pick landed. Both sides had shown similar form coming in, each posting one win, two draws and two losses over their last five matches, with both teams scoring in 60% of those games. Palermo's clinical finishing proved the difference on the day. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.

Palermo v Sampdoria · Serie B ·

Player ratings

Who decided it

All 22
  1. Mattia Perin★ MOTM90 min7.0
  2. Danel Sinani53 min6.9
  3. Alessandro Di Pardo90 min6.7
  4. Dominic Vavassori69 min6.7
  5. Yari Verschaeren83 min6.7

Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

The provider forecast gives Palermo win the highest 1X2 probability at 53.3%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

PAL
53.3%
Draw
27.5%
SAM
19.2%
Both teams to score · Yes
44.1%
Over 2.5 goals
43.7%

Full-time forecast audit: Palermo win was the highest probability; the match result was Palermo win.

Forecast result checked ·

Tips record

No Tip was published for this match

No selection qualified before kickoff, so there is no paid Tip to settle. The original model prediction and observed prices remain separate audit records.

Final pre-match decision · no Tip to settle

Current alternative Tips will be checked as this section comes into view
Match facts · what the record shows

Pre-match facts retained

The historical evidence saved at kick-off, kept separate from what happened in the match.

Head-to-head evidence

Pre-match historical evidence

  • 1-0is the most common scoreline between Palermo and Sampdoria, landing 2 times across 7 league meetings on record.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • 4/7recorded league meetings saw both teams score (57.1%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • 37league matches at home unbeaten for Palermo.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Palermo scored first in 5 of their last 10 league matches (50%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Sampdoria scored first in 4 of their last 10 league matches (40%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Palermo have averaged 1.5 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Sampdoria have averaged 0.8 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Joel Pohjanpalo has the highest listed average xGOT for Palermo at 0.62 across the provider's evidence window.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Alessandro Riccio has the highest listed average xGOT for Sampdoria at 0.55 across the provider's evidence window.Immutable kick-off snapshot

Immutable kick-off snapshot · Source: match facts feed. Evidence sets are labelled separately and never rebuilt from mutable post-match rows.

Questions about this result

  • What was the final score in Palermo vs Sampdoria?
    PAL beat SAM 3-1 in the Serie B.
  • Who scored the opening goal?
    Gabriel Strefezza opened the scoring in the 9th minute.
  • Who scored in the match?
    Gabriel Strefezza (9'), Joel Pohjanpalo (33'), Lorenzo Insigne (63'), Antonio Palumbo (94').
  • How many bookings were there?
    The referee showed 5 yellow cards.
  • Who refereed the match?
    Matteo Marchetti officiated.
  • When and where was the match played?
    PAL vs SAM kicked off on Monday, 7 September 2026 UK time.
  • How many corners were there in the match?
    7 corners were taken across the 90 minutes.
  • Did the model call it right?
    No. The published pick was Both teams to score — No, and it did not land.
  • When do they play next?
    PAL play Mantova on Saturday, 17 October 2026 UK time. SAM play Sampdoria on Sunday, 18 October 2026 UK time.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.