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EFL Championship · MW6 Carrow Road, Norwich, NorfolkRef: Tom Reeves
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Norwich 2-1 Birmingham result, stats and report

Norwich
Norwich
Won · xG 1.13
2 – 1
FT 16:26
Birmingham
Lost · xG 1.94
Birmingham
Match review
Next: Charlton v Norwich · Sat 24 Oct · Cardiff City v Birmingham · Sat 24 Oct
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Who won Norwich vs Birmingham?

Norwich 2-1 Birmingham, full time in the EFL Championship. Played UK time. Our model's pre-match pick was Both teams to score, which landed.

How it played out

Norwich won it 2–1

NorwichBirmingham

No minute-by-minute record was captured for this match, so the shape of it is not drawn.

Verified final · revision 6 · 16:26Full stats
Match StoryFull breakdown

Norwich 2–1 Birmingham

Norwich beat Birmingham 2-1 at Carrow Road thanks to first-half goals from Oscar Schwartau and Papa Amadou Diallo, before Carlos Vicente pulled one back for the visitors. A night of ill-discipline from the home side nearly cost them dearly.

EFL ChampionshipWed 9 Sept, 19:45
Key Takeaways
Result

Norwich beat Birmingham 2-1 at home.

Goals

3 goals took the match over the 2.5 line.

Chance quality

Norwich won against the run of the chances: Norwich 1.13 to Birmingham 1.94 on expected goals, which favoured Birmingham.

First Goal
O
28'⚽
Oscar Schwartau
MAssist: Mathias Kvistgaarden
Game Flow

Expected Goals (xG)

Norwich 1.13 xGBirmingham 1.94 xG
Cumulative · approximated from goal events
0'45'90'

SportSignals model forecast

Recorded before kick-off · prediction, not a Tip

Norwich to win

45%Matched

Result

Norwich2:1Birmingham

Norwich v Birmingham

Our model called Norwich to win at 45%. Norwich 2-1 Birmingham. Forecast matched the result.
📊 Match recap and data context

Norwich beat Birmingham 2-1 at Carrow Road in the Championship. Our model backed a Norwich win at 45% probability, and the pick landed. Both sides found the net, continuing Norwich's recent pattern; the hosts have registered both-teams-scoring in 60% of their last five matches. Birmingham offered little resistance despite their recent uptick in form, managing just one goal across the 90 minutes. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.

Norwich v Birmingham · EFL Championship ·

More from this competition: EFL Championship predictions · EFL Championship odds

Player ratings

Who decided it

All 22
  1. P. Mattsson★ MOTM90 min7.6
  2. Jay StansfieldBirmingham90 min7.3
  3. Papa Amadou DialloNorwich1 goal · 46 min7.3
  4. Oscar SchwartauNorwich1 goal · 71 min7.3
  5. Liam Millar1 assist · 90 min7.1

Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

NorwichBirminghamEFL Championship

The provider forecast gives Norwich win the highest 1X2 probability at 45.0%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

Norwich
45.0%
Draw
25.9%
Birmingham
29.1%
Both teams to score · Yes
58.0%
Over 2.5 goals
55.9%

Full-time forecast audit: Norwich win was the highest probability; the match result was Norwich win.

Forecast result checked ·

Tips record

No Tip was published for this match

No selection qualified before kickoff, so there is no paid Tip to settle. The original model prediction and observed prices remain separate audit records.

Final pre-match decision · no Tip to settle

Current alternative Tips will be checked as this section comes into view
Match facts · what the record shows

Pre-match facts retained

The historical evidence saved at kick-off, kept separate from what happened in the match.

Head-to-head evidence

Pre-match historical evidence

  • 1-0is the most common scoreline between Norwich and Birmingham, landing 3 times across 14 league meetings on record.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • 7/14recorded league meetings saw both teams score (50%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • 4league matches away from home unbeaten for Birmingham.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Norwich scored first in 4 of their last 10 league matches (40%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Birmingham scored first in 4 of their last 10 league matches (40%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Norwich have averaged 1.6 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Birmingham have averaged 1.5 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Mohamed Touré has the highest listed average xGOT for Norwich at 0.82 across the provider's evidence window.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Phil Neumann has the highest listed average xGOT for Birmingham at 0.56 across the provider's evidence window.Immutable kick-off snapshot

Immutable kick-off snapshot · Source: match facts feed. Evidence sets are labelled separately and never rebuilt from mutable post-match rows.

Questions about this result

  • What was the final score in Norwich vs Birmingham?
    Norwich beat Birmingham 2-1 in the EFL Championship at Carrow Road.
  • Who scored the opening goal?
    Oscar Schwartau opened the scoring in the 28th minute.
  • Who scored in the match?
    Oscar Schwartau (28'), Papa Amadou Diallo (39'), Carlos Vicente (64').
  • How many bookings were there?
    The referee showed 9 yellow cards.
  • Who refereed the match?
    Tom Reeves officiated.
  • When and where was the match played?
    Norwich vs Birmingham kicked off on Wednesday, 9 September 2026 UK time at Carrow Road.
  • How many corners were there in the match?
    13 corners were taken across the 90 minutes.
  • Did the model call it right?
    Yes. The published pick was Both teams to score, and it landed.
  • When do they play next?
    Norwich play Charlton on Saturday, 24 October 2026 UK time. Birmingham play Cardiff City on Saturday, 24 October 2026 UK time.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.