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Newcastle United 2-2 Bournemouth, full time in the Premier League. Played UK time. Our model's pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals, which did not land. Before this meeting the sides had met 2 times in the fixtures we hold, with Newcastle United winning 0, Bournemouth winning 1 and 1 drawn.
By SportSignals Match Desk · Football analysis desk ·
Bournemouth took all three points at St. James' Park despite Newcastle United creating the better chances, with two first-half goals proving enough to sink the hosts. Connor Maguire has no sympathy for a Newcastle side that did the hard work and threw it away.
Bournemouth took all three points at St. James' Park despite Newcastle United creating the better chances, with two first-half goals proving enough to sink the hosts. Connor Maguire has no sympathy for a Newcastle side that did the hard work and threw it away.
Premier LeagueSat 5 Sept, 12:30
Key Takeaways
Result
Newcastle United and Bournemouth drew 2-2.
Goals
4 goals took the match over the 2.5 line.
First Goal
M
9'⚽
Marcus Tavernier
Game Flow
Expected Goals (xG)
Newcastle United 0.59 xGBournemouth 1.28 xG
Cumulative · approximated from goal events
SportSignals model forecast
Recorded before kick-off · prediction, not a Tip
Newcastle United to win
39%Missed
Result
2:2
Newcastle United v Bournemouth
Our model leaned Newcastle United to win at 39%. Newcastle United 2-2 Bournemouth. Forecast did not match the result.
📊 Match recap and data context
Newcastle United face Bournemouth at St. James' Park on 5 September 2026 at 11:30 UTC in the Premier League. Newcastle have won their last match but both teams have shown strong attacking form; Bournemouth won three of their last five while Newcastle registered both teams to score in their sole recent outing. Head-to-head, Bournemouth hold the edge with one win to Newcastle's none across two meetings. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.
The provider forecast gives Newcastle United win the highest 1X2 probability at 39.3%. A separately qualified SportSignals Tip has an official settlement record for this fixture.
Newcastle United
39.3%
Draw
26.8%
Bournemouth
34.0%
Both teams to score · Yes
55.2%
Over 2.5 goals
50.9%
Full-time forecast audit: Newcastle United win was the highest probability; the match result was draw.
Forecast result checked ·
Tip record · publication ledgerProof it was published before kickoffImmutable
✦ TIP
SportSignals Tip settlement
Official terminal ledger · each row keeps its exact result
Premier League· published 04:35lost
Under 2.5 goals
Logged at 2.50 with Betfair Exchange
Betfair Exchange offered 2.50 when we checked at 01:05 on 5 Sept.
Betfair Exchange is a betting exchange. It takes a small commission from winnings.
Publication provenance
Immutable Tips ledger · record 8fff965c-bd20-4a37-938c-d490a23588a9 · model publication version not recorded
Source: immutable SportSignals Tips publication ledger. Provider predictions and market prices are separate records and never create a Tip or a settlement result.
Match facts · what the record shows
Pre-match facts retained
The historical evidence saved at kick-off, kept separate from what happened in the match.
1-1is the most common scoreline between Newcastle United and Bournemouth, landing 3 times across 16 league meetings on record.Immutable kick-off snapshot
12/16recorded league meetings saw both teams score (75%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
3league matches at home unbeaten for Newcastle United.Immutable kick-off snapshot
11league matches away from home unbeaten for Bournemouth.Immutable kick-off snapshot
Newcastle United scored first in 7 of their last 10 league matches (70%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
Bournemouth scored first in 8 of their last 10 league matches (80%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
Newcastle United have averaged 1.4 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable kick-off snapshot
Bournemouth have averaged 1.6 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable kick-off snapshot
Nick Pope has the highest listed average xGOT for Newcastle United at 0.47 across the provider's evidence window.Immutable kick-off snapshot
Immutable kick-off snapshot · Source: match facts feed. Evidence sets are labelled separately and never rebuilt from mutable post-match rows.
Questions about this result
▸What was the final score in Newcastle United vs Bournemouth?