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Major League SoccerRef: Rubiel Vazquez
Full time

This match had stats; no live commentary, momentum or in-play prices.

New York RB 0-3 St. Louis City result, stats and report

New York RB
Lost · xG 1.10
0 – 3
FT 11:15
Won · xG 1.66
St. Louis City
The Match Review, as soon as it publishes.
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Who won New York RB vs St. Louis City?

New York RB 0-3 St. Louis City, full time in Major League Soccer. Played UK time. Our model's pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals, which did not land.

Editorial publication status

No Match Review published

The final score and match data are available elsewhere in this Match Centre.

How it played out

LOU won it 3–0

No minute-by-minute record was captured for this match, so the shape of it is not drawn.

Verified final · revision 4 · 11:15Full stats
Match StoryFull breakdown

New York RB 0–3 St. Louis City

New York Red Bulls have not kept a single clean sheet in their last ten MLS matches and are running out of road. St. Louis City arrive unbeaten in ten and in no mood to be charitable.

Key Takeaways
Result

St. Louis City won 3-0 away at New York RB.

Goals

3 goals took the match over the 2.5 line.

First Goal
R
5'⚽
Rafael Navarro
CAssist: Conrad Wallem
Game Flow

Expected Goals (xG)

New York RB 1.10 xGSt. Louis City 1.66 xG
Cumulative · approximated from goal events
0'45'90'

SportSignals model forecast

Recorded before kick-off · prediction, not a Tip

New York RB to win

40%Missed

Result

New York RB0:3St. Louis City

NYR v LOU

Our model leaned New York RB to win at 40%. New York RB 0-3 St. Louis City. Forecast did not match the result.
📊 Match recap and data context

St. Louis City dominated New York RB in a comprehensive 3-0 victory. Our model favored the home side at 40 percent probability, and the pick missed. Rafael Navarro opened the scoring in the fifth minute, with Simon Becher and Tomas Ostrák adding goals late to seal the result. New York offered little resistance across the ninety minutes. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.

New York RB v St. Louis City · Major League Soccer ·

More from this competition: Major League Soccer predictions · Major League Soccer odds

Player ratings

Who decided it

All 22
  1. Dante PolvaraLOU★ MOTM90 min7.6

Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

The provider forecast gives New York RB win the highest 1X2 probability at 40.4%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

NYR
40.4%
Draw
26.4%
LOU
33.2%
Both teams to score · Yes
58.0%
Over 2.5 goals
55.4%

Full-time forecast audit: New York RB win was the highest probability; the match result was St. Louis City win.

Forecast result checked ·

Tips record

No Tip was published for this match

No selection qualified before kickoff, so there is no paid Tip to settle. The original model prediction and observed prices remain separate audit records.

Final pre-match decision · no Tip to settle

Current alternative Tips will be checked as this section comes into view
Match facts · what the record shows

Pre-match facts retained

The historical evidence saved at kick-off, kept separate from what happened in the match.

Head-to-head evidence

Pre-match historical evidence

  • 9league matches away from home unbeaten for St. Louis City.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • New York RB scored first in 4 of their last 10 league matches (40%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • St. Louis City scored first in 7 of their last 10 league matches (70%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • New York RB have averaged 0.8 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • St. Louis City have averaged 2.3 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Mijahir Jiménez has the highest listed average xGOT for New York RB at 1.60 across the provider's evidence window.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Roman Bürki has the highest listed average xGOT for St. Louis City at 0.99 across the provider's evidence window.Immutable kick-off snapshot

Immutable kick-off snapshot · Source: match facts feed. Evidence sets are labelled separately and never rebuilt from mutable post-match rows.

Questions about this result

  • What was the final score in New York RB vs St. Louis City?
    LOU beat NYR 3-0 in the Major League Soccer.
  • Who scored the opening goal?
    Rafael Navarro opened the scoring in the 5th minute.
  • Who scored in the match?
    Rafael Navarro (5'), Simon Becher (87'), Tomas Ostrák (91').
  • How many bookings were there?
    The referee showed 2 yellow cards.
  • Who refereed the match?
    Rubiel Vazquez officiated.
  • When and where was the match played?
    NYR vs LOU kicked off on Thursday, 1 October 2026 UK time.
  • How many corners were there in the match?
    7 corners were taken across the 90 minutes.
  • Did the model call it right?
    No. The published pick was Under 2.5 goals, and it did not land.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.