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Major League SoccerRef: Allen Chapman
Full time

This match had live commentary, stats and in-play prices; no momentum.

New York City 1-2 New England result, stats and report

New York City
Lost · xG 1.69
1 – 2
FT 23:35
Won · xG 2.13
New England
The Match Review, as soon as it publishes.
Skip match sections

Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

New York CityNew EnglandMajor League Soccer

The provider forecast gives New York City win the highest 1X2 probability at 41.8%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

NYC
41.8%
Draw
23.5%
NER
34.8%
Both teams to score · Yes
63.9%
Over 2.5 goals
62.3%

Full-time forecast audit: New York City win was the highest probability; the match result was New England win.

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorewon
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultwon
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalswon
Over 3.5 goalswon
Full-time resultlost
Double chancelost
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveswon

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

42%
23%
35%
41.8%NYC
23.5%Draw
34.8%NER

Both Teams to Score

64%
Yes 63.9%No 36.1%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

62%
Yes 62.3%No 37.7%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
83%
Over 2.5
62%
Over 3.5
39%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
10.3%
2-1
9.1%
1-2
8.0%
1-0
6.9%
2-2
6.7%
0-1
6.1%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates NYC or draw at 50.0%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 37.0%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 8.7%.

Double Chance

1X
50.0%
12
4.3%
X2
45.7%

Half-Time Result

NYC
33.5%
Draw
37.0%
NER
29.5%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
NYC
Draw
NER
NYC
24.6%
5.8%
3.4%
Draw
13.5%
13.5%
10.7%
NER
3.4%
5.7%
19.5%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
8.7%
No
91.3%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.