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NEC Nijmegen 1-2 Telstar, full time in the Eredivisie. Played UK time. Our model's pre-match pick was Both teams to score — No, which did not land. Before this meeting the sides had met once in the fixtures we hold, and it was drawn.
Telstar left Nijmegen with all three points despite NEC dominating every statistical category that matters. When you have 27 shots and score once, you deserve nothing.
Telstar left Nijmegen with all three points despite NEC dominating every statistical category that matters. When you have 27 shots and score once, you deserve nothing.
EredivisieSat 8 Aug, 15:30
Key Takeaways
Result
Telstar won 2-1 away at NEC Nijmegen.
Goals
3 goals took the match over the 2.5 line.
Chance quality
Telstar won against the run of the chances: NEC Nijmegen 2.50 to Telstar 1.37 on expected goals, which favoured NEC Nijmegen.
First Goal
P
1'⚽
Patrick Brouwer
AAssist: Abdelnour Soualhia
Game Flow
Expected Goals (xG)
NEC Nijmegen 2.50 xGTelstar 1.37 xG
Cumulative · approximated from goal events
SportSignals model forecast
Recorded before kick-off · prediction, not a Tip
NEC Nijmegen to win
60%Missed
Result
1:2
NEC Nijmegen v Telstar
Our model leaned NEC Nijmegen to win at 60%. NEC Nijmegen 1-2 Telstar. Forecast did not match the result.
📊 Match recap and data context
NEC Nijmegen fell to Telstar 1-2 at Goffertstadion in an Eredivisie result that defied our model's 60% backing for the hosts. The visitors turned the match despite NEC's recent form showing two wins in five games. Both teams arrived with high both-teams-to-score rates; Telstar's 80% frequency proved decisive as they found the net twice to claim three points. Our pick missed. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.
No immutable pre-kickoff prediction snapshot is recorded. Current provider rows are withheld so the completed-match archive cannot gain hindsight. A separately qualified SportSignals Tip has an official settlement record for this fixture.
Tip record · publication ledgerProof it was published before kickoffImmutable
✦ TIP
SportSignals Tip settlement
Official terminal ledger · each row keeps its exact result
Eredivisie· published 14:47lost
Under 2.5 goalsat 2.90
Publication provenance
Immutable Tips ledger · record c97efdf2-013d-4e6f-9890-d670bd90cc51 · model publication version not recorded
Source: immutable SportSignals Tips publication ledger. Provider predictions and market prices are separate records and never create a Tip or a settlement result.
Pre-match facts retained
The immutable pre-match Match Facts snapshot is still being reconciled. Current provider rows are not substituted into the completed-match archive.
Questions about this result
▸What was the final score in NEC Nijmegen vs Telstar?