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This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.
NEC Nijmegen 2-2 Excelsior, full time in the Eredivisie. Played UK time. Our model's pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals, which landed. Before this meeting the sides had met once in the fixtures we hold, and NEC Nijmegen won it.
Excelsior came from behind twice to snatch a 2-2 draw at NEC Nijmegen, but the hosts will feel they let two points slip after dominating large periods of the match. Noé Lebreton's stoppage-time equaliser saved Excelsior from defeat.
Read the reviewNo minute-by-minute record was captured for this match, so the shape of it is not drawn.
NEC Nijmegen 2–2 Excelsior
Excelsior came from behind twice to snatch a 2-2 draw at NEC Nijmegen, but the hosts will feel they let two points slip after dominating large periods of the match. Noé Lebreton's stoppage-time equaliser saved Excelsior from defeat.
NEC Nijmegen and Excelsior drew 2-2.
4 goals took the match over the 2.5 line.
Expected Goals (xG)
SportSignals model forecast
Recorded before kick-off · prediction, not a Tip
NEC Nijmegen to win
Result
2:2
NEC Nijmegen v Excelsior
NEC Nijmegen and Excelsior drew 2-2 at Goffertstadion in an Eredivisie match that saw our model's pick of a NEC win at 45% probability miss the mark. The result defied recent form; Excelsior arrived in strong shape with four wins in their last five, while NEC had managed just one draw and one loss over the same stretch. Both sides found the net, continuing Excelsior's tendency to play in high-scoring contests. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.
NEC Nijmegen v Excelsior · Eredivisie ·
More from this competition: Eredivisie predictions · Eredivisie odds
Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip
The provider forecast gives NEC Nijmegen win the highest 1X2 probability at 44.9%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.
Full-time forecast audit: NEC Nijmegen win was the highest probability; the match result was draw.
Forecast result checked ·
No selection qualified before kickoff, so there is no paid Tip to settle. The original model prediction and observed prices remain separate audit records.
Final pre-match decision · no Tip to settle
The historical evidence saved at kick-off, kept separate from what happened in the match.
Immutable kick-off snapshot · Source: match facts feed. Evidence sets are labelled separately and never rebuilt from mutable post-match rows.
Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.
After 8 played. Movement is measured against the table at kickoff.
