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Eredivisie · MW3 Goffertstadion, NijmegenRef: Erwin Blank
Full time

This match had live commentary, stats and in-play prices; no momentum.

NEC Nijmegen 2-2 Excelsior result, stats and report

NEC Nijmegen
Drew · xG 1.21
2 – 2
FT 14:35
Drew · xG 1.84
Excelsior
Next: Utrecht v NEC Nijmegen · Sun 8 Nov · Feyenoord v Excelsior · Sat 21 Nov
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

NEC NijmegenExcelsiorEredivisie

The provider forecast gives NEC Nijmegen win the highest 1X2 probability at 44.9%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

NEC Nijmegen
44.9%
Draw
23.6%
Excelsior
31.4%
Both teams to score · Yes
66.1%
Over 2.5 goals
66.5%

Full-time forecast audit: NEC Nijmegen win was the highest probability; the match result was draw.

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorewon
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultwon
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalswon
Over 3.5 goalslost
Full-time resultlost
Double chancewon
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveswon

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

45%
24%
31%
44.9%NEC Nijmegen
23.6%Draw
31.4%Excelsior

Both Teams to Score

66%
Yes 66.1%No 33.9%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

66%
Yes 66.5%No 33.5%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
85%
Over 2.5
66%
Over 3.5
46%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
9.4%
2-1
8.6%
2-2
7.6%
1-2
7.0%
1-0
6.3%
2-0
5.6%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates NEC Nijmegen or draw at 52.2%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 36.6%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 11.7%.

Double Chance

1X
52.2%
12
3.8%
X2
44.0%

Half-Time Result

NEC Nijmegen
35.5%
Draw
36.6%
Excelsior
27.9%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
NEC Nijmegen
Draw
Excelsior
NEC Nijmegen
27.7%
5.9%
3.2%
Draw
12.7%
13.2%
9.9%
Excelsior
2.8%
7.0%
17.8%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
11.7%
No
88.3%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.