This site contains betting-related content and is intended for users aged 18 and over. You must be 18 or older to gamble.
We use cookies to improve your experience. Essential cookies are always active. Non-essential cookies (functional, analytics, advertising) require your consent. Privacy Policy
By SportSignals Match Desk · Football analysis desk ·
Scott McTominay scored twice but Napoli were made to sweat by a relentless Bodø / Glimt side who clawed back to 4-3 in stoppage time, exposing serious defensive fragility at the Stadio Maradona in the UEFA Champions League.
Scott McTominay scored twice but Napoli were made to sweat by a relentless Bodø / Glimt side who clawed back to 4-3 in stoppage time, exposing serious defensive fragility at the Stadio Maradona in the UEFA Champions League.
UEFA Champions LeagueTue 20 Oct, 20:00
Key Takeaways
Result
Napoli beat Bodø / Glimt 4-3 at home.
Goals
7 goals took the match over the 2.5 line.
First Goal
M
1'⚽
Matteo Politano
LAssist: Leonardo Spinazzola
Game Flow
Expected Goals (xG)
Napoli 1.68 xGBodø / Glimt 2.23 xG
Cumulative · approximated from goal events
SportSignals model forecast
Recorded before kick-off · prediction, not a Tip
Napoli to win
41%Matched
Result
4:3
Napoli v BOD
Our model called Napoli to win at 41%. Napoli 4-3 Bodø / Glimt. Forecast matched the result.
📊 Match recap and data context
Napoli defeated Bodø / Glimt 4-3 at the Stadio Diego Armando Maradona in a Champions League encounter that saw both sides find the net multiple times. Our model backed a Napoli win at 41 percent probability, and the pick landed. Matteo Politano opened the scoring in the first minute before Jens Petter Hauge equalized for the visitors in the 27th. Scott McTominay restored Napoli's lead by the 41st minute in a match where both teams contributed to an attacking display. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.
The provider forecast gives Napoli win the highest 1X2 probability at 40.7%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.
Napoli
40.7%
Draw
22.5%
BOD
36.8%
Both teams to score · Yes
60.8%
Over 2.5 goals
63.0%
Full-time forecast audit: Napoli win was the highest probability; the match result was Napoli win.
Forecast result checked ·
Tips record
No Tip was published for this match
No selection qualified before kickoff, so there is no paid Tip to settle. The original model prediction and observed prices remain separate audit records.
Final pre-match decision · no Tip to settle
Current alternative Tips will be checked as this section comes into view
Match facts · what the record shows
10 facts from this result
The final verified live-context record and historical evidence saved before kick-off, kept as separate evidence sets.
For Bodø / Glimt, the final recorded goal situation matched 6 comparable matches from 36 checked matches: 0% win, 0% draw, 100% loss.Verified final
For Napoli, the final recorded goal situation matched 5 comparable matches from 52 checked matches: 100% win, 0% draw, 0% loss.Verified final
For Bodø / Glimt, the final recorded sending-off situation matched 6 comparable matches from 36 checked matches: 0% win, 0% draw, 100% loss.Verified final
For Napoli, the final recorded sending-off situation matched 5 comparable matches from 52 checked matches: 100% win, 0% draw, 0% loss.Verified final
Captured from live match context at . This is a retained situation record, not a post-match performance claim.
Pre-match historical evidence
21league matches at home unbeaten for Napoli.Immutable lifecycle evidence
Napoli scored first in 5 of their last 10 league matches (50%).Immutable lifecycle evidence
Bodø / Glimt scored first in 8 of their last 10 league matches (80%).Immutable lifecycle evidence
Napoli have averaged 1.0 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable lifecycle evidence
Bodø / Glimt have averaged 2.1 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable lifecycle evidence
Sam Beukema has the highest listed average xGOT for Napoli at 0.68 across the provider's evidence window.Immutable lifecycle evidence
Immutable lifecycle evidence · Source: match facts feed. Evidence sets are labelled separately and never rebuilt from mutable post-match rows.
Questions about this result
▸What was the final score in Napoli vs Bodø / Glimt?