Skip to main content
Live
✦ SportSignals+ just now
Value SmartBetsNEW Props Predictions Live My Bets Alerts
UEFA Champions League · MW3 Stadio Diego Armando Maradona, NapoliRef: José María Sánchez Martínez
Full time

This match had live commentary, stats and in-play prices; no momentum.

Napoli 4-3 Bodø / Glimt result, stats and report

Napoli
Won · xG 1.68
4 – 3
FT 05:55
Lost · xG 2.23
Bodø / Glimt
Next: Napoli v Lazio · Sun 8 Nov · Tromsø v Bodø / Glimt · Sun 8 Nov
Skip match sections

Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

NapoliBodø / GlimtUEFA Champions League

The provider forecast gives Napoli win the highest 1X2 probability at 40.7%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

Napoli
40.7%
Draw
22.5%
BOD
36.8%
Both teams to score · Yes
60.8%
Over 2.5 goals
63.0%

Full-time forecast audit: Napoli win was the highest probability; the match result was Napoli win.

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorewon
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultwon
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalswon
Over 3.5 goalslost
Full-time resultwon
Double chancewon
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveslost

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

41%
23%
37%
40.7%Napoli
22.5%Draw
36.8%BOD

Both Teams to Score

61%
Yes 60.8%No 39.2%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

63%
Yes 63.0%No 37.0%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
83%
Over 2.5
63%
Over 3.5
40%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
10.0%
2-1
8.6%
1-2
7.7%
1-0
6.8%
2-2
6.3%
0-1
6.0%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates Napoli or draw at 48.2%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 35.4%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 8.7%.

Double Chance

1X
48.2%
12
4.1%
X2
47.8%

Half-Time Result

Napoli
30.7%
Draw
35.4%
BOD
33.9%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
Napoli
Draw
BOD
Napoli
23.3%
4.7%
2.6%
Draw
12.9%
12.6%
11.3%
BOD
2.4%
3.9%
26.3%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
8.7%
No
91.3%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.