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UEFA Champions League ยท MW1 Stadio Diego Armando Maradona, NapoliRef: Glenn Nyberg
Full time

Napoli 0-1 Arsenal result, stats and report

Napoli
Lost ยท xG 0.31
0 โ€“ 1
FT
Won ยท xG 3.60
Arsenal
Next: Fiorentina v Napoli ยท Sun 20 Sept ยท Brighton v Arsenal ยท Sat 19 Sept
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Forecast audit ยท prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

NapoliArsenalUEFA Champions League

The provider forecast gives Arsenal win the highest 1X2 probability at 45.7%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

Napoli
30.8%
Draw
23.5%
Arsenal
45.7%
Both teams to score ยท Yes
52.3%
Over 2.5 goals
53.1%

Forecast result checked ยท

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorelost
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultwon
Over 1.5 goalslost
Over 2.5 goalslost
Over 3.5 goalswon
Full-time resultwon
Double chancewon
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveswon

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

31%
23%
46%
30.8%Napoli
23.5%Draw
45.7%Arsenal

Both Teams to Score

52%
Yes 52.3%No 47.7%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

53%
Yes 53.1%No 46.9%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
76%
Over 2.5
53%
Over 3.5
31%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
10.9%
0-1
9.5%
1-2
8.7%
1-0
7.6%
0-2
7.6%
2-1
7.0%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates Arsenal or draw at 50.1%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 36.9%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 3.9%.

Double Chance

1X
43.4%
12
6.5%
X2
50.1%

Half-Time Result

Napoli
29.6%
Draw
36.9%
Arsenal
33.5%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
Napoli
Draw
Arsenal
Napoli
20.6%
3.5%
2.4%
Draw
11.8%
15.5%
11.6%
Arsenal
1.7%
4.6%
28.1%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
3.9%
No
96.1%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ ยท Past performance does not guarantee future results ยท BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ ยท Past performance does not guarantee future results ยท BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.