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UEFA Champions League · MW1 Stadio Diego Armando Maradona, NapoliRef: Glenn Nyberg
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Napoli 0-1 Arsenal result, stats and report

Napoli
Napoli
Lost · xG 0.31
0 – 1
FT 16:26
Arsenal
Won · xG 3.60
Arsenal
Match review
Next: Venezia v Napoli · Sat 17 Oct · Nottingham Forest v Arsenal · Sun 18 Oct
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Who won Napoli vs Arsenal?

Napoli 0-1 Arsenal, full time in the UEFA Champions League. Played UK time. Our model's pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals, which did not land.

How it played out

Arsenal won it 1–0

NapoliArsenal

No minute-by-minute record was captured for this match, so the shape of it is not drawn.

Verified final · revision 3 · 16:26Full stats
Match StoryFull breakdown

Napoli 0–1 Arsenal

Martin Ødegaard's 75th-minute finish gave Arsenal a hard-earned 1-0 victory over Napoli in the UEFA Champions League, a result that flattered the hosts in terms of effort but told the whole truth in terms of quality.

UEFA Champions LeagueWed 9 Sept, 20:00
Key Takeaways
Result

Arsenal won 1-0 away at Napoli.

Goals

A single goal kept the match under the 2.5 line.

Chance quality

The chances backed the result: Napoli 0.31 to Arsenal 3.60 on expected goals.

First Goal
M
75'⚽
Martin Ødegaard
CAssist: Christos Tzolis
Game Flow

Expected Goals (xG)

Napoli 0.31 xGArsenal 3.60 xG
Cumulative · approximated from goal events
0'45'90'

SportSignals model forecast

Recorded before kick-off · prediction, not a Tip

Arsenal to win

46%Matched

Result

Napoli0:1Arsenal

Napoli v Arsenal

Our model called Arsenal to win at 46%. Napoli 0-1 Arsenal. Forecast matched the result.
📊 Match recap and data context

Arsenal won 1-0 at Napoli in the Champions League, landing our model's 46% pick for an away victory. The Stadio Diego Armando Maradona saw a tightly contested match where Arsenal's defence held firm; Napoli managed chances but could not break through. Arsenal's recent form had been mixed, yet they delivered a clean sheet on the road. Napoli's tendency to concede goals proved costly in a match where margins were thin. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.

Napoli v Arsenal · UEFA Champions League ·

More from this competition: UEFA Champions League predictions · UEFA Champions League odds

Player ratings

Who decided it

All 22
  1. Martin ØdegaardArsenal★ MOTM1 goal · 90 min8.9
  2. Alex MeretNapoli46 min7.6
  3. Ben WhiteArsenal82 min7.4
  4. David RayaArsenal90 min7.3
  5. GabrielArsenal90 min7.3

Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

NapoliArsenalUEFA Champions League

The provider forecast gives Arsenal win the highest 1X2 probability at 45.7%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

Napoli
30.8%
Draw
23.5%
Arsenal
45.7%
Both teams to score · Yes
52.3%
Over 2.5 goals
53.1%

Full-time forecast audit: Arsenal win was the highest probability; the match result was Arsenal win.

Forecast result checked ·

Tips record

No Tip was published for this match

No selection qualified before kickoff, so there is no paid Tip to settle. The original model prediction and observed prices remain separate audit records.

Final pre-match decision · no Tip to settle

Current alternative Tips will be checked as this section comes into view
Match facts · what the record shows

Pre-match facts retained

The historical evidence saved at kick-off, kept separate from what happened in the match.

Head-to-head evidence

Pre-match historical evidence

  • 2-0is the most common scoreline between Napoli and Arsenal, landing 2 times across 2 league meetings on record.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • 21league matches at home unbeaten for Napoli.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • 12league matches away from home unbeaten for Arsenal.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Napoli scored first in 4 of their last 10 league matches (40%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Arsenal scored first in 8 of their last 10 league matches (80%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Napoli have averaged 1.1 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Arsenal have averaged 1.8 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Sam Beukema has the highest listed average xGOT for Napoli at 0.68 across the provider's evidence window.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Bukayo Saka has the highest listed average xGOT for Arsenal at 0.56 across the provider's evidence window.Immutable kick-off snapshot

Immutable kick-off snapshot · Source: match facts feed. Evidence sets are labelled separately and never rebuilt from mutable post-match rows.

Questions about this result

  • What was the final score in Napoli vs Arsenal?
    Arsenal beat Napoli 1-0 in the UEFA Champions League at Stadio Diego Armando Maradona.
  • Who scored the opening goal?
    Martin Ødegaard opened the scoring in the 75th minute.
  • Who scored in the match?
    Martin Ødegaard (75').
  • How many bookings were there?
    The referee showed 3 yellow cards.
  • Who refereed the match?
    Glenn Nyberg officiated.
  • When and where was the match played?
    Napoli vs Arsenal kicked off on Wednesday, 9 September 2026 UK time at Stadio Diego Armando Maradona.
  • How many corners were there in the match?
    6 corners were taken across the 90 minutes.
  • Did the model call it right?
    No. The published pick was Over 2.5 goals, and it did not land.
  • When do they play next?
    Napoli play Venezia on Saturday, 17 October 2026 UK time. Arsenal play Nottingham Forest on Sunday, 18 October 2026 UK time.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.