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Liga Portugal · MW4Ref: Carlos André Fernandes Macedo
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Nacional 2-3 Estrela Amadora result, stats and report

Nacional
Lost · xG 0.21
2 – 3
FT
Won · xG 1.39
Estrela Amadora
The Match Review, as soon as it publishes.
Next: Nacional v Sporting Braga · Sun 25 Oct · Estrela Amadora v Casa Pia · Sat 24 Oct
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Nacional vs Estrela Amadora: what we can confirm

Nacional vs Estrela Amadora has finished in Liga Portugal. Played UK time.

Editorial publication status

No Match Review published

The final score and match data are available elsewhere in this Match Centre.

How it played out

EST won it 3–2

No minute-by-minute record was captured for this match, so the shape of it is not drawn.

Provider final · 10:05 · archive check in progressFull stats

The completed-match archive is not published yet. Current match rows are not substituted into it while verification is pending.

📊 Match recap and data context

Nacional fell to Estrela Amadora 2-3 in Liga Portugal, a result that missed our model's 43% pick for a Nacional win. The visitors' attacking threat proved decisive despite Nacional's superior head-to-head record; Estrela Amadora had won just once in their last five outings but capitalised on their recent BTTS form at 80%. Nacional, winless in three of their last five, could not hold their ground. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.

Nacional v Estrela Amadora · Liga Portugal ·

More from this competition: Liga Portugal predictions · Liga Portugal odds

Player ratings

Who decided it

All 22
  1. Allen Obando★ MOTM21 min6.6
  2. Lovro Zvonarek90 min6.5
  3. Joan Jordán23 min6.5
  4. William Kokolo1 assist · 78 min6.3
  5. Renato Marin90 min6.2

Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

The provider forecast gives Nacional win the highest 1X2 probability at 43.3%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

NAC
43.3%
Draw
27.9%
EST
28.8%
Both teams to score · Yes
51.1%
Over 2.5 goals
46.6%

Forecast result checked ·

Tips record

No Tip was published for this match

No selection qualified before kickoff, so there is no paid Tip to settle. The original model prediction and observed prices remain separate audit records.

Final pre-match decision · no Tip to settle

Match facts · what the record shows

10 facts from this result

The final verified live-context record and historical evidence saved before kick-off, kept as separate evidence sets.

Head-to-head evidence

Final live-fact record

  • For Estrela Amadora, the final recorded goal situation matched 4 comparable matches from 17 checked matches: 100% win, 0% draw, 0% loss.Verified final
  • For Estrela Amadora, the final recorded goal situation matched 10 comparable matches from 100 checked matches: 100% win, 0% draw, 0% loss.Verified final
  • For Nacional, the final recorded goal situation matched 4 comparable matches from 17 checked matches: 0% win, 0% draw, 100% loss.Verified final
  • For Nacional, the final recorded goal situation matched 34 comparable matches from 100 checked matches: 0% win, 0% draw, 100% loss.Verified final

Captured from live match context at . This is a retained situation record, not a post-match performance claim.

Pre-match historical evidence

  • 2-0is the most common scoreline between Nacional and Estrela Amadora, landing 2 times across 4 league meetings on record.Immutable lifecycle evidence
  • 1/4recorded league meetings saw both teams score (25%).Immutable lifecycle evidence
  • 4league matches at home unbeaten for Nacional.Immutable lifecycle evidence
  • 2league matches away from home unbeaten for Estrela Amadora.Immutable lifecycle evidence
  • Nacional scored first in 6 of their last 10 league matches (60%).Immutable lifecycle evidence
  • Estrela Amadora scored first in 4 of their last 10 league matches (40%).Immutable lifecycle evidence

Immutable lifecycle evidence · Source: match facts feed. Evidence sets are labelled separately and never rebuilt from mutable post-match rows.

Questions about this result

  • What was the final score in Nacional vs Estrela Amadora?
    EST beat NAC 3-2 in the Liga Portugal.
  • Who scored the opening goal?
    Wesley Gasolina opened the scoring in the 3rd minute.
  • Who scored in the match?
    Wesley Gasolina (3'), Ianis Stoica (46'), Abraham Marcus (62'), Pablo Ruan (66'), Leandro Antonetti (83').
  • How many bookings were there?
    The referee showed 3 yellow cards.
  • Who refereed the match?
    Carlos André Fernandes Macedo officiated.
  • When and where was the match played?
    NAC vs EST kicked off on Sunday, 30 August 2026 UK time.
  • How many corners were there in the match?
    7 corners were taken across the 90 minutes.
  • Did the model call it right?
    No. The published pick was Under 2.5 goals, and it did not land.
  • When do they play next?
    NAC play Nacional on Sunday, 25 October 2026 UK time. EST play Estrela Amadora on Saturday, 24 October 2026 UK time.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.