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Carabao Cup The Den, LondonRef: Craig Pawson
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Millwall 0-1 Newcastle United result, stats and report

Millwall
Lost · xG 0.64
0 – 1
FT
Won · xG 2.02
Newcastle United
Next: Portsmouth v Millwall · Sat 24 Oct · Crystal Palace v Newcastle United · Sun 25 Oct
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Millwall vs Newcastle United: what we can confirm

Millwall vs Newcastle United has finished in the Carabao Cup. Played UK time.

How it played out

Newcastle United won it 1–0

No minute-by-minute record was captured for this match, so the shape of it is not drawn.

Provider final · 18:25 · archive check in progressFull stats

The completed-match archive is not published yet. Current match rows are not substituted into it while verification is pending.

📊 Match recap and data context

Newcastle United won 1-0 at Millwall in the Carabao Cup, landing our model's 40% pick for a Newcastle victory. The visitors broke through at The Den despite Millwall's recent form showing two wins and two draws across their last five outings. Newcastle's defensive solidity continued, extending their streak without conceding across their last five matches. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.

Millwall v Newcastle United · Carabao Cup ·

Player ratings

Who decided it

All 22
  1. Lewis HallNewcastle United★ MOTM1 assist · 90 min8.5
  2. Joe WillockNewcastle United1 goal · 90 min8.4
  3. Sven BotmanNewcastle United90 min7.7
  4. Filip Marschall90 min7.6
  5. Lukas Hornicek90 min7.4

Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

The provider forecast gives Newcastle United win the highest 1X2 probability at 40.1%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

Millwall
36.0%
Draw
23.9%
Newcastle United
40.1%
Both teams to score · Yes
54.9%
Over 2.5 goals
53.5%

Forecast result checked ·

Tips record

No Tip was published for this match

No selection qualified before kickoff, so there is no paid Tip to settle. The original model prediction and observed prices remain separate audit records.

Final pre-match decision · no Tip to settle

Match facts · what the record shows

Pre-match facts retained

The historical evidence saved at kick-off, kept separate from what happened in the match.

Head-to-head evidence

Pre-match historical evidence

  • Millwall scored first in 4 of their last 10 league matches (40%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Newcastle United scored first in 7 of their last 10 league matches (70%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Millwall have averaged 1.0 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Newcastle United have averaged 2.1 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Jake Cooper has the highest listed average xGOT for Millwall at 0.67 across the provider's evidence window.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Lewis Miley has the highest listed average xGOT for Newcastle United at 1.11 across the provider's evidence window.Immutable kick-off snapshot

Immutable kick-off snapshot · Source: match facts feed. Evidence sets are labelled separately and never rebuilt from mutable post-match rows.

Questions about this result

  • What was the final score in Millwall vs Newcastle United?
    Newcastle United beat Millwall 1-0 in the Carabao Cup at The Den.
  • Who scored the opening goal?
    Joe Willock opened the scoring in the 81st minute.
  • Who scored in the match?
    Joe Willock (81').
  • How many bookings were there?
    The referee showed 3 yellow cards.
  • Who refereed the match?
    Craig Pawson officiated.
  • When and where was the match played?
    Millwall vs Newcastle United kicked off on Tuesday, 8 September 2026 UK time at The Den.
  • How many corners were there in the match?
    16 corners were taken across the 90 minutes.
  • Did the model call it right?
    No. The published pick was Both teams to score, and it did not land.
  • When do they play next?
    Millwall play Portsmouth on Saturday, 24 October 2026 UK time. Newcastle United play Crystal Palace on Sunday, 25 October 2026 UK time.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.