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Marítimo took all three points at home thanks to a 61st-minute header, but the underlying statistics tell a more complicated story about who actually controlled this Liga Portugal opener.
Marítimo took all three points at home thanks to a 61st-minute header, but the underlying statistics tell a more complicated story about who actually controlled this Liga Portugal opener.
Liga PortugalSat 8 Aug, 15:30
Key Takeaways
Result
Marítimo beat Casa Pia 1-0 at home.
Goals
A single goal kept the match under the 2.5 line.
First Goal
R
61'⚽
Raphael Guzzo
MAssist: Martín Tejón
Game Flow
Expected Goals (xG)
Marítimo 1.22 xGCasa Pia 0.51 xG
Cumulative · approximated from goal events
SportSignals model forecast
Recorded before kick-off · prediction, not a Tip
Marítimo to win
44%Matched
Result
1:0
CSM v CAS
Our model called Marítimo to win at 44%. Marítimo 1-0 Casa Pia. Forecast matched the result.
📊 Match recap and data context
Marítimo beat Casa Pia 1-0 at home in Liga Portugal. Our model backed a Marítimo win at 44% probability, and the pick landed. Marítimo have won one of their last five matches and kept a clean sheet here; Casa Pia arrived in poor form with just one win across their last five outings. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.
No immutable pre-kickoff prediction snapshot is recorded. Current provider rows are withheld so the completed-match archive cannot gain hindsight. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.
Tips record
No Tip was published for this match
No selection qualified before kickoff, so there is no paid Tip to settle. The original model prediction and observed prices remain separate audit records.