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Liga Portugal · MW1Ref: Sérgio José dos Santos Guelho
Full time

Score only for this match. No live commentary or in-play prices were available.

Marítimo 1-0 Casa Pia result, stats and report

Marítimo
Won · xG 1.22
1 – 0
FT
Lost · xG 0.51
Casa Pia
Next: Vitória Guimarães v Marítimo · Fri 23 Oct · Estrela Amadora v Casa Pia · Sat 24 Oct
Skip match sections

Who won Marítimo vs Casa Pia?

Marítimo 1-0 Casa Pia, full time in Liga Portugal. Played UK time. Our model's pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals, which landed.

How it played out

CSM won it 1–0

No minute-by-minute record was captured for this match, so the shape of it is not drawn.

Verified final · revision 1 · 17:27Full stats
Match StoryFull breakdown

Marítimo 1–0 Casa Pia

Marítimo took all three points at home thanks to a 61st-minute header, but the underlying statistics tell a more complicated story about who actually controlled this Liga Portugal opener.

Key Takeaways
Result

Marítimo beat Casa Pia 1-0 at home.

Goals

A single goal kept the match under the 2.5 line.

First Goal
R
61'⚽
Raphael Guzzo
MAssist: Martín Tejón
Game Flow

Expected Goals (xG)

Marítimo 1.22 xGCasa Pia 0.51 xG
Cumulative · approximated from goal events
0'45'90'

SportSignals model forecast

Recorded before kick-off · prediction, not a Tip

Marítimo to win

44%Matched

Result

Marítimo1:0Casa Pia

CSM v CAS

Our model called Marítimo to win at 44%. Marítimo 1-0 Casa Pia. Forecast matched the result.
📊 Match recap and data context

Marítimo beat Casa Pia 1-0 at home in Liga Portugal. Our model backed a Marítimo win at 44% probability, and the pick landed. Marítimo have won one of their last five matches and kept a clean sheet here; Casa Pia arrived in poor form with just one win across their last five outings. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.

Marítimo v Casa Pia · Liga Portugal ·

More from this competition: Liga Portugal predictions · Liga Portugal odds

Player ratings

Who decided it

All 22
  1. André Gomes★ MOTM90 min6.8
  2. Henrique Araújo90 min6.6
  3. Selvi Clua9 min6.6
  4. Samuel Bamba7 min6.4
  5. Alassana Jatta11 min6.4
Timeline

Key moments

Full timeline
  1. 61'CSM
  2. 66'CAS
  3. 66'CAS
  4. 79'Alassana Jatta · CAS
  5. 81'Selvi Clua · CAS

Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

No immutable pre-kickoff prediction snapshot is recorded. Current provider rows are withheld so the completed-match archive cannot gain hindsight. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.
Tips record

No Tip was published for this match

No selection qualified before kickoff, so there is no paid Tip to settle. The original model prediction and observed prices remain separate audit records.

Final pre-match decision · no Tip to settle

Pre-match facts retained

The immutable pre-match Match Facts snapshot is still being reconciled. Current provider rows are not substituted into the completed-match archive.

Questions about this result

  • What was the final score in Marítimo vs Casa Pia?
    CSM beat CAS 1-0 in the Liga Portugal.
  • Who scored the opening goal?
    Raphael Guzzo opened the scoring in the 61st minute.
  • Who scored in the match?
    Raphael Guzzo (61').
  • How many bookings were there?
    The referee showed 4 yellow cards.
  • Who refereed the match?
    Sérgio José dos Santos Guelho officiated.
  • When and where was the match played?
    CSM vs CAS kicked off on Saturday, 8 August 2026 UK time.
  • How many corners were there in the match?
    8 corners were taken across the 90 minutes.
  • Did the model call it right?
    Yes. The published pick was Under 2.5 goals, and it landed.
  • When do they play next?
    CSM play Vitória Guimarães on Friday, 23 October 2026 UK time. CAS play Estrela Amadora on Saturday, 24 October 2026 UK time.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.