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Swedish Allsvenskan · MW23Ref: Oscar Johnson
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Malmö FF 1-0 Kalmar result, stats and report

Malmö FF
Won · xG 1.41
1 – 0
FT 03:35
Lost · xG 1.79
Kalmar
The Match Review, as soon as it publishes.
Next: IFK Göteborg v Malmö FF · Sun 8 Nov · Mjällby v Kalmar · Mon 2 Nov
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

Malmö FFKalmarSwedish Allsvenskan

The provider forecast gives Malmö FF win the highest 1X2 probability at 49.7%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

MAL
49.7%
Draw
24.3%
KAL
26.0%
Both teams to score · Yes
56.9%
Over 2.5 goals
56.9%

Full-time forecast audit: Malmö FF win was the highest probability; the match result was Malmö FF win.

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorelost
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultwon
Over 1.5 goalslost
Over 2.5 goalslost
Over 3.5 goalswon
Full-time resultwon
Double chancewon
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveswon

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

50%
24%
26%
49.7%MAL
24.3%Draw
26.0%KAL

Both Teams to Score

57%
Yes 56.9%No 43.1%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

57%
Yes 56.9%No 43.1%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
79%
Over 2.5
57%
Over 3.5
34%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
10.7%
2-1
9.8%
1-0
9.2%
2-0
7.6%
1-2
6.5%
0-0
6.1%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates MAL or draw at 56.8%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 40.6%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 10.0%.

Double Chance

1X
56.8%
12
6.1%
X2
37.1%

Half-Time Result

MAL
37.3%
Draw
40.6%
KAL
22.1%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
MAL
Draw
KAL
MAL
28.5%
5.4%
2.4%
Draw
15.3%
16.1%
9.2%
KAL
2.7%
4.8%
15.6%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
10.0%
No
90.0%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.