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Swiss Super League · MW8Ref: Urs Schnyder
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Luzern 2-4 Basel result, stats and report

Luzern
Lost · xG 1.54
2 – 4
FT 07:55
Won · xG 1.31
Basel
Next: Zürich v Luzern · Sat 24 Oct · Basel v Grasshopper · Sun 25 Oct
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

LuzernBaselSwiss Super League

The provider forecast gives Luzern win the highest 1X2 probability at 38.9%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

LUZ
38.9%
Draw
23.9%
BAS
37.3%
Both teams to score · Yes
66.9%
Over 2.5 goals
66.9%

Full-time forecast audit: Luzern win was the highest probability; the match result was Basel win.

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorewon
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultlost
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalswon
Over 3.5 goalslost
Full-time resultlost
Double chancelost
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveslost

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

39%
24%
37%
38.9%LUZ
23.9%Draw
37.3%BAS

Both Teams to Score

67%
Yes 66.9%No 33.1%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

67%
Yes 66.9%No 33.1%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
86%
Over 2.5
67%
Over 3.5
44%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
9.6%
2-1
8.6%
1-2
8.1%
2-2
7.4%
1-0
5.6%
0-1
5.3%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates LUZ or draw at 53.7%; the most likely half-time state is LUZ leading at half-time at 36.6%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 9.3%.

Double Chance

1X
53.7%
12
3.6%
X2
42.7%

Half-Time Result

LUZ
36.6%
Draw
35.9%
BAS
27.5%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
LUZ
Draw
BAS
LUZ
25.7%
6.1%
4.1%
Draw
13.9%
12.3%
10.5%
BAS
2.6%
6.4%
18.4%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
9.3%
No
90.7%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.